Seattle's August 15 temperature hinges on marine air influence from Puget Sound and variable high pressure, with NWS and AccuWeather models converging on a high near 77–80°F amid mostly sunny conditions and light southwest winds. Trader consensus favors 76–79°F bins because typical mid-August climatology shows daily maxima around 78°F, tempered by potential morning cloud cover or slight onshore flow that caps warming. Lower outcomes (73–75°F) gain traction if a marine layer persists or winds strengthen, while 80–81°F or higher would require rapid clearing and stronger downslope effects—less likely given current guidance. The spread reflects model spread in boundary-layer moisture and exact timing of any afternoon heating, with resolution depending on official station readings at Sea-Tac or equivalent.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月15日西雅圖的最高溫度？
8月15日西雅圖的最高溫度？
76-77°F 34%
78-79°F 24%
74-75°F 22%
80-81°F 10%
最新
$13,396 交易量
最新
$13,396 交易量
2026-08-15
73°F or below
5%
74-75°F
22%
76-77°F
34%
78-79°F
24%
80-81°F
10%
82-83°F
4%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 34%
78-79°F 24%
74-75°F 22%
80-81°F 10%
最新
$13,396 交易量
最新
$13,396 交易量
2026-08-15
73°F or below
$4,577 交易量
5%
74-75°F
$1,446 交易量
22%
76-77°F
$1,357 交易量
34%
78-79°F
$1,585 交易量
24%
80-81°F
$1,769 交易量
10%
82-83°F
$346 交易量
4%
84-85°F
$602 交易量
<1%
86-87°F
$720 交易量
<1%
88-89°F
$317 交易量
<1%
90-91°F
$315 交易量
<1%
92°F or higher
$361 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Seattle's August 15 temperature hinges on marine air influence from Puget Sound and variable high pressure, with NWS and AccuWeather models converging on a high near 77–80°F amid mostly sunny conditions and light southwest winds. Trader consensus favors 76–79°F bins because typical mid-August climatology shows daily maxima around 78°F, tempered by potential morning cloud cover or slight onshore flow that caps warming. Lower outcomes (73–75°F) gain traction if a marine layer persists or winds strengthen, while 80–81°F or higher would require rapid clearing and stronger downslope effects—less likely given current guidance. The spread reflects model spread in boundary-layer moisture and exact timing of any afternoon heating, with resolution depending on official station readings at Sea-Tac or equivalent.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
交易量
$13,396結束日期
2026-08-15市場開放時間
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Seattle's August 15 temperature hinges on marine air influence from Puget Sound and variable high pressure, with NWS and AccuWeather models converging on a high near 77–80°F amid mostly sunny conditions and light southwest winds. Trader consensus favors 76–79°F bins because typical mid-August climatology shows daily maxima around 78°F, tempered by potential morning cloud cover or slight onshore flow that caps warming. Lower outcomes (73–75°F) gain traction if a marine layer persists or winds strengthen, while 80–81°F or higher would require rapid clearing and stronger downslope effects—less likely given current guidance. The spread reflects model spread in boundary-layer moisture and exact timing of any afternoon heating, with resolution depending on official station readings at Sea-Tac or equivalent.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$13,396結束日期
2026-08-15市場開放時間
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETSeattle's August 15 temperature hinges on marine air influence from Puget Sound and variable high pressure, with NWS and AccuWeather models converging on a high near 77–80°F amid mostly sunny conditions and light southwest winds. Trader consensus favors 76–79°F bins because typical mid-August climatology shows daily maxima around 78°F, tempered by potential morning cloud cover or slight onshore flow that caps warming. Lower outcomes (73–75°F) gain traction if a marine layer persists or winds strengthen, while 80–81°F or higher would require rapid clearing and stronger downslope effects—less likely given current guidance. The spread reflects model spread in boundary-layer moisture and exact timing of any afternoon heating, with resolution depending on official station readings at Sea-Tac or equivalent.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions