Recent forecasts for Chengdu highlight a cooling trend driven by thundershowers and increased cloud cover ahead of August 18, with models from sources like the Met Office and timeanddate projecting daytime highs of 26–29°C amid humid subtropical conditions typical of Sichuan’s rainy season. This represents a notable drop from earlier August peaks near 33–35°C, as atmospheric moisture and precipitation suppress maximum temperatures by limiting solar heating and enhancing evaporative cooling. Historical climatology places August averages around 29–32°C, but the current pattern aligns with frequent summer convective activity that often caps highs in the mid-20s when systems stall. Trader consensus around 23–25°C reflects these short-term model runs, with uncertainty tied to exact rainfall timing and intensity that could shift outcomes by a few degrees depending on the latest observational data or updated guidance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月18日成都最高溫度？
8月18日成都最高溫度？
24°C 39%
23°C 23%
25°C 19%
22°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-18
20°C or below
3%
21°C
2%
22°C
9%
23°C
23%
24°C
39%
25°C
19%
26°C
9%
27°C
4%
28°C
2%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 39%
23°C 23%
25°C 19%
22°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-18
20°C or below
$10 交易量
3%
21°C
$107 交易量
2%
22°C
$168 交易量
9%
23°C
$1,138 交易量
23%
24°C
$3,149 交易量
39%
25°C
$189 交易量
19%
26°C
$262 交易量
9%
27°C
$266 交易量
4%
28°C
$174 交易量
2%
29°C
$324 交易量
<1%
30°C or higher
$774 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Chengdu highlight a cooling trend driven by thundershowers and increased cloud cover ahead of August 18, with models from sources like the Met Office and timeanddate projecting daytime highs of 26–29°C amid humid subtropical conditions typical of Sichuan’s rainy season. This represents a notable drop from earlier August peaks near 33–35°C, as atmospheric moisture and precipitation suppress maximum temperatures by limiting solar heating and enhancing evaporative cooling. Historical climatology places August averages around 29–32°C, but the current pattern aligns with frequent summer convective activity that often caps highs in the mid-20s when systems stall. Trader consensus around 23–25°C reflects these short-term model runs, with uncertainty tied to exact rainfall timing and intensity that could shift outcomes by a few degrees depending on the latest observational data or updated guidance.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$6,561結束日期
2026-08-18市場開放時間
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Chengdu highlight a cooling trend driven by thundershowers and increased cloud cover ahead of August 18, with models from sources like the Met Office and timeanddate projecting daytime highs of 26–29°C amid humid subtropical conditions typical of Sichuan’s rainy season. This represents a notable drop from earlier August peaks near 33–35°C, as atmospheric moisture and precipitation suppress maximum temperatures by limiting solar heating and enhancing evaporative cooling. Historical climatology places August averages around 29–32°C, but the current pattern aligns with frequent summer convective activity that often caps highs in the mid-20s when systems stall. Trader consensus around 23–25°C reflects these short-term model runs, with uncertainty tied to exact rainfall timing and intensity that could shift outcomes by a few degrees depending on the latest observational data or updated guidance.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$6,561結束日期
2026-08-18市場開放時間
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent forecasts for Chengdu highlight a cooling trend driven by thundershowers and increased cloud cover ahead of August 18, with models from sources like the Met Office and timeanddate projecting daytime highs of 26–29°C amid humid subtropical conditions typical of Sichuan’s rainy season. This represents a notable drop from earlier August peaks near 33–35°C, as atmospheric moisture and precipitation suppress maximum temperatures by limiting solar heating and enhancing evaporative cooling. Historical climatology places August averages around 29–32°C, but the current pattern aligns with frequent summer convective activity that often caps highs in the mid-20s when systems stall. Trader consensus around 23–25°C reflects these short-term model runs, with uncertainty tied to exact rainfall timing and intensity that could shift outcomes by a few degrees depending on the latest observational data or updated guidance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions