Recent National Weather Service forecasts for New York City on August 16 indicate a high near 81°F under mostly sunny conditions with light northeast winds, aligning closely with the market's leading 80-81°F outcome. This positioning stems from a stable high-pressure pattern suppressing significant cloud cover or precipitation, typical for mid-August when average Central Park highs reach 83°F. Model consensus shows limited variability, with only modest afternoon heating potential before any late-day moisture arrives, keeping 82°F+ probabilities subdued. Traders weigh these official guidance updates against historical August temperature distributions and short-term observational data from Central Park, where minor deviations in timing or intensity could shift the daily maximum into adjacent bins.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月16日紐約市的最高溫度？
8月16日紐約市的最高溫度？
80-81°F 52%
82-83°F 22%
78-79°F 21%
76-77°F 6%
最新
$43,511 交易量
最新
$43,511 交易量
2026-08-16
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
6%
78-79°F
21%
80-81°F
52%
82-83°F
22%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 52%
82-83°F 22%
78-79°F 21%
76-77°F 6%
最新
$43,511 交易量
最新
$43,511 交易量
2026-08-16
71°F or below
$211 交易量
<1%
72-73°F
$214 交易量
<1%
74-75°F
$20,369 交易量
<1%
76-77°F
$6,410 交易量
6%
78-79°F
$3,580 交易量
21%
80-81°F
$1,890 交易量
52%
82-83°F
$4,500 交易量
22%
84-85°F
$2,724 交易量
4%
86-87°F
$1,756 交易量
1%
88-89°F
$1,318 交易量
<1%
90°F or higher
$582 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for New York City on August 16 indicate a high near 81°F under mostly sunny conditions with light northeast winds, aligning closely with the market's leading 80-81°F outcome. This positioning stems from a stable high-pressure pattern suppressing significant cloud cover or precipitation, typical for mid-August when average Central Park highs reach 83°F. Model consensus shows limited variability, with only modest afternoon heating potential before any late-day moisture arrives, keeping 82°F+ probabilities subdued. Traders weigh these official guidance updates against historical August temperature distributions and short-term observational data from Central Park, where minor deviations in timing or intensity could shift the daily maximum into adjacent bins.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
交易量
$43,511結束日期
2026-08-16市場開放時間
Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for New York City on August 16 indicate a high near 81°F under mostly sunny conditions with light northeast winds, aligning closely with the market's leading 80-81°F outcome. This positioning stems from a stable high-pressure pattern suppressing significant cloud cover or precipitation, typical for mid-August when average Central Park highs reach 83°F. Model consensus shows limited variability, with only modest afternoon heating potential before any late-day moisture arrives, keeping 82°F+ probabilities subdued. Traders weigh these official guidance updates against historical August temperature distributions and short-term observational data from Central Park, where minor deviations in timing or intensity could shift the daily maximum into adjacent bins.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$43,511結束日期
2026-08-16市場開放時間
Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ETRecent National Weather Service forecasts for New York City on August 16 indicate a high near 81°F under mostly sunny conditions with light northeast winds, aligning closely with the market's leading 80-81°F outcome. This positioning stems from a stable high-pressure pattern suppressing significant cloud cover or precipitation, typical for mid-August when average Central Park highs reach 83°F. Model consensus shows limited variability, with only modest afternoon heating potential before any late-day moisture arrives, keeping 82°F+ probabilities subdued. Traders weigh these official guidance updates against historical August temperature distributions and short-term observational data from Central Park, where minor deviations in timing or intensity could shift the daily maximum into adjacent bins.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions