Current National Weather Service and model consensus point to a high temperature of 84–86°F in New York City on August 17 under mostly sunny skies and light winds, aligning with the market’s leading 84–85°F (36%) and 86–87°F (23%) outcomes. August climatology centers on an 83°F average high at Central Park, and recent ensemble guidance shows limited deviation from this baseline with no strong cold-air advection or widespread cloud cover expected. Updated runs emphasize modest diurnal heating without significant moisture or frontal influences that could cap temperatures, keeping the distribution tightly centered in the mid-80s while assigning only low probability to 90°F-plus extremes. New NWS forecast updates and model refreshes tomorrow morning will provide the final inputs before market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月17日紐約市的最高溫度？
8月17日紐約市的最高溫度？
84-85°F 36%
86-87°F 22%
82-83°F 20%
88-89°F 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-17
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
8%
82-83°F
20%
84-85°F
36%
86-87°F
22%
88-89°F
11%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
1%
94°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 36%
86-87°F 22%
82-83°F 20%
88-89°F 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-17
75°F or below
$436 交易量
<1%
76-77°F
$300 交易量
1%
78-79°F
$288 交易量
3%
80-81°F
$248 交易量
8%
82-83°F
$292 交易量
20%
84-85°F
$1,335 交易量
36%
86-87°F
$347 交易量
22%
88-89°F
$140 交易量
11%
90-91°F
$40 交易量
2%
92-93°F
$58 交易量
1%
94°F or higher
$291 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model consensus point to a high temperature of 84–86°F in New York City on August 17 under mostly sunny skies and light winds, aligning with the market’s leading 84–85°F (36%) and 86–87°F (23%) outcomes. August climatology centers on an 83°F average high at Central Park, and recent ensemble guidance shows limited deviation from this baseline with no strong cold-air advection or widespread cloud cover expected. Updated runs emphasize modest diurnal heating without significant moisture or frontal influences that could cap temperatures, keeping the distribution tightly centered in the mid-80s while assigning only low probability to 90°F-plus extremes. New NWS forecast updates and model refreshes tomorrow morning will provide the final inputs before market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 15, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
交易量
$3,696結束日期
2026-08-17市場開放時間
Aug 15, 2026, 9:56 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model consensus point to a high temperature of 84–86°F in New York City on August 17 under mostly sunny skies and light winds, aligning with the market’s leading 84–85°F (36%) and 86–87°F (23%) outcomes. August climatology centers on an 83°F average high at Central Park, and recent ensemble guidance shows limited deviation from this baseline with no strong cold-air advection or widespread cloud cover expected. Updated runs emphasize modest diurnal heating without significant moisture or frontal influences that could cap temperatures, keeping the distribution tightly centered in the mid-80s while assigning only low probability to 90°F-plus extremes. New NWS forecast updates and model refreshes tomorrow morning will provide the final inputs before market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,696結束日期
2026-08-17市場開放時間
Aug 15, 2026, 9:56 PM ETCurrent National Weather Service and model consensus point to a high temperature of 84–86°F in New York City on August 17 under mostly sunny skies and light winds, aligning with the market’s leading 84–85°F (36%) and 86–87°F (23%) outcomes. August climatology centers on an 83°F average high at Central Park, and recent ensemble guidance shows limited deviation from this baseline with no strong cold-air advection or widespread cloud cover expected. Updated runs emphasize modest diurnal heating without significant moisture or frontal influences that could cap temperatures, keeping the distribution tightly centered in the mid-80s while assigning only low probability to 90°F-plus extremes. New NWS forecast updates and model refreshes tomorrow morning will provide the final inputs before market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions