Current National Weather Service and private model guidance for August 17 in New York City indicates an overnight low near 72–73°F, driven by persistently high dew points, light winds, and limited radiational cooling under mostly cloudy skies with possible thunderstorms. This aligns with the recent pattern of above-normal minimum temperatures, including a 71°F low recorded in Central Park on August 14 against a climatological average near 69°F. No significant cold-air advection or clear, dry conditions are expected to promote greater overnight drops. Trader consensus at 57% for the 72–73°F bin reflects these near-term model outputs, with lower-probability outcomes tied to potential forecast revisions in the final 24 hours before official Central Park observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月17日紐約市的最低溫度?
72-73°F 57%
70-71°F 22%
74-75°F 14%
68-69°F 4%
華氏61度或以下
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65華氏度
1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
4%
70-71°F
22%
72-73°F
57%
74-75°F
14%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
1%
華氏80度或以上
<1%
72-73°F 57%
70-71°F 22%
74-75°F 14%
68-69°F 4%
華氏61度或以下
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65華氏度
1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
4%
70-71°F
22%
72-73°F
57%
74-75°F
14%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
1%
華氏80度或以上
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 15, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current National Weather Service and private model guidance for August 17 in New York City indicates an overnight low near 72–73°F, driven by persistently high dew points, light winds, and limited radiational cooling under mostly cloudy skies with possible thunderstorms. This aligns with the recent pattern of above-normal minimum temperatures, including a 71°F low recorded in Central Park on August 14 against a climatological average near 69°F. No significant cold-air advection or clear, dry conditions are expected to promote greater overnight drops. Trader consensus at 57% for the 72–73°F bin reflects these near-term model outputs, with lower-probability outcomes tied to potential forecast revisions in the final 24 hours before official Central Park observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions