Latest ensemble forecasts from models such as ECMWF place Amsterdam's maximum temperature on August 16 near the seasonal average of 21–23°C, with 22°C and 23°C emerging as the closest outcomes due to subtle differences in projected cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and weak westerly flow. Persistent high pressure supports mostly stable conditions with limited advection of warmer air, while scattered afternoon clouds may cap peak solar heating and keep readings from reaching 24°C. Minor model spread arises from uncertainty in exact timing of any light showers or variable winds, which could shift the daily high by 1°C. These factors explain the tight market-implied odds between the leading outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of near-term observational data and forecast uncertainty.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月16日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
8月16日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
22°C 45%
23°C 40%
24°C 9%
21°C 8%
最新
$15,891 交易量
最新
$15,891 交易量
2026-08-16
19°C或以下
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
8%
22°C
45%
23°C
40%
24°C
9%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C或以上
<1%
22°C 45%
23°C 40%
24°C 9%
21°C 8%
最新
$15,891 交易量
最新
$15,891 交易量
2026-08-16
19°C或以下
$526 交易量
<1%
20°C
$900 交易量
2%
21°C
$1,505 交易量
8%
22°C
$3,195 交易量
45%
23°C
$3,022 交易量
40%
24°C
$3,719 交易量
9%
25°C
$975 交易量
1%
26°C
$760 交易量
<1%
27°C
$490 交易量
<1%
28°C
$343 交易量
<1%
29°C或以上
$457 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from models such as ECMWF place Amsterdam's maximum temperature on August 16 near the seasonal average of 21–23°C, with 22°C and 23°C emerging as the closest outcomes due to subtle differences in projected cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and weak westerly flow. Persistent high pressure supports mostly stable conditions with limited advection of warmer air, while scattered afternoon clouds may cap peak solar heating and keep readings from reaching 24°C. Minor model spread arises from uncertainty in exact timing of any light showers or variable winds, which could shift the daily high by 1°C. These factors explain the tight market-implied odds between the leading outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of near-term observational data and forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$15,891結束日期
2026-08-16市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from models such as ECMWF place Amsterdam's maximum temperature on August 16 near the seasonal average of 21–23°C, with 22°C and 23°C emerging as the closest outcomes due to subtle differences in projected cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and weak westerly flow. Persistent high pressure supports mostly stable conditions with limited advection of warmer air, while scattered afternoon clouds may cap peak solar heating and keep readings from reaching 24°C. Minor model spread arises from uncertainty in exact timing of any light showers or variable winds, which could shift the daily high by 1°C. These factors explain the tight market-implied odds between the leading outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of near-term observational data and forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$15,891結束日期
2026-08-16市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETLatest ensemble forecasts from models such as ECMWF place Amsterdam's maximum temperature on August 16 near the seasonal average of 21–23°C, with 22°C and 23°C emerging as the closest outcomes due to subtle differences in projected cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and weak westerly flow. Persistent high pressure supports mostly stable conditions with limited advection of warmer air, while scattered afternoon clouds may cap peak solar heating and keep readings from reaching 24°C. Minor model spread arises from uncertainty in exact timing of any light showers or variable winds, which could shift the daily high by 1°C. These factors explain the tight market-implied odds between the leading outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of near-term observational data and forecast uncertainty.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions