The Hong Kong Observatory's official recording of a 26.9°C minimum air temperature at its headquarters on August 15 drove overwhelming trader consensus toward the 26°C outcome. Persistent post-Typhoon Dolphin cloud cover and showers suppressed overnight cooling, keeping readings aligned with seasonal August norms of 26–28°C rather than allowing typical radiative drops. Forecast models converged on this range days earlier, and the absence of any late-model revisions or station discrepancies left negligible room for alternative resolutions. The sole realistic challenge would require a verified data correction from the observatory itself, an event with near-zero historical precedent for daily summaries.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月15日香港最低溫度？
8月15日香港最低溫度？
26°C 100.0%
22°C或以下 <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$45,021 交易量
$45,021 交易量
2026-08-15
22°C或以下
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
是
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C或以上
否
26°C 100.0%
22°C或以下 <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$45,021 交易量
$45,021 交易量
2026-08-15
22°C或以下
$728 交易量
否
23°C
$5,016 交易量
否
24°C
$3,412 交易量
否
25°C
$5,985 交易量
否
26°C
$12,027 交易量
是
27°C
$8,410 交易量
否
28°C
$4,934 交易量
否
29°C
$2,566 交易量
否
30°C
$1,073 交易量
否
31°C
$430 交易量
否
32°C或以上
$442 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory's official recording of a 26.9°C minimum air temperature at its headquarters on August 15 drove overwhelming trader consensus toward the 26°C outcome. Persistent post-Typhoon Dolphin cloud cover and showers suppressed overnight cooling, keeping readings aligned with seasonal August norms of 26–28°C rather than allowing typical radiative drops. Forecast models converged on this range days earlier, and the absence of any late-model revisions or station discrepancies left negligible room for alternative resolutions. The sole realistic challenge would require a verified data correction from the observatory itself, an event with near-zero historical precedent for daily summaries.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
交易量
$45,021結束日期
2026-08-15市場開放時間
Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory's official recording of a 26.9°C minimum air temperature at its headquarters on August 15 drove overwhelming trader consensus toward the 26°C outcome. Persistent post-Typhoon Dolphin cloud cover and showers suppressed overnight cooling, keeping readings aligned with seasonal August norms of 26–28°C rather than allowing typical radiative drops. Forecast models converged on this range days earlier, and the absence of any late-model revisions or station discrepancies left negligible room for alternative resolutions. The sole realistic challenge would require a verified data correction from the observatory itself, an event with near-zero historical precedent for daily summaries.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$45,021結束日期
2026-08-15市場開放時間
Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The Hong Kong Observatory's official recording of a 26.9°C minimum air temperature at its headquarters on August 15 drove overwhelming trader consensus toward the 26°C outcome. Persistent post-Typhoon Dolphin cloud cover and showers suppressed overnight cooling, keeping readings aligned with seasonal August norms of 26–28°C rather than allowing typical radiative drops. Forecast models converged on this range days earlier, and the absence of any late-model revisions or station discrepancies left negligible room for alternative resolutions. The sole realistic challenge would require a verified data correction from the observatory itself, an event with near-zero historical precedent for daily summaries.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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