Recent PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila indicate a 31°C high on August 19 with a 60% rain chance under the southwest monsoon, or habagat, which typically brings increased cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms that limit daytime heating. Historical August maxima average near 30–31°C, but enhanced rainfall and reduced solar insolation this week have shifted trader focus toward 28–29°C outcomes, which together imply roughly 65% probability. These conditions create genuine uncertainty around peak temperatures, as model consensus on exact cloud timing and intensity remains variable ahead of the final forecast updates.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月19日馬尼拉的最高溫度?
29°C 34%
28°C 32%
30°C 15%
27°C 12%
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
12%
28°C
32%
29°C
34%
30°C
15%
31°C
5%
32°C或以上
3%
29°C 34%
28°C 32%
30°C 15%
27°C 12%
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
12%
28°C
32%
29°C
34%
30°C
15%
31°C
5%
32°C或以上
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila indicate a 31°C high on August 19 with a 60% rain chance under the southwest monsoon, or habagat, which typically brings increased cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms that limit daytime heating. Historical August maxima average near 30–31°C, but enhanced rainfall and reduced solar insolation this week have shifted trader focus toward 28–29°C outcomes, which together imply roughly 65% probability. These conditions create genuine uncertainty around peak temperatures, as model consensus on exact cloud timing and intensity remains variable ahead of the final forecast updates.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions