Current meteorological forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate a peak temperature in Beijing on August 17 most likely reaching 31–33°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms possible. These conditions align with late-summer climatology, where average highs decline from early-month peaks near 35°C amid moderating monsoon influences, increased cloud cover, and higher humidity that limits daytime heating. Recent model runs show consistency around 32°C as the most probable outcome, with minor variations in steering patterns or precipitation timing the primary sources of uncertainty that keep adjacent bins competitive in trader sentiment. Official observations tomorrow will determine resolution based on the verified daily maximum at standard stations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月17日北京最高溫度？
8月17日北京最高溫度？
32°C 42%
33°C 27%
31°C 20%
30°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-17
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
7%
31°C
20%
32°C
42%
33°C
27%
34°C
7%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 42%
33°C 27%
31°C 20%
30°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-17
27°C or below
$371 交易量
1%
28°C
$1,068 交易量
1%
29°C
$837 交易量
3%
30°C
$647 交易量
7%
31°C
$1,068 交易量
20%
32°C
$371 交易量
42%
33°C
$265 交易量
27%
34°C
$482 交易量
7%
35°C
$131 交易量
1%
36°C
$650 交易量
1%
37°C or higher
$450 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate a peak temperature in Beijing on August 17 most likely reaching 31–33°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms possible. These conditions align with late-summer climatology, where average highs decline from early-month peaks near 35°C amid moderating monsoon influences, increased cloud cover, and higher humidity that limits daytime heating. Recent model runs show consistency around 32°C as the most probable outcome, with minor variations in steering patterns or precipitation timing the primary sources of uncertainty that keep adjacent bins competitive in trader sentiment. Official observations tomorrow will determine resolution based on the verified daily maximum at standard stations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ET
交易量
$6,341結束日期
2026-08-17市場開放時間
Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate a peak temperature in Beijing on August 17 most likely reaching 31–33°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms possible. These conditions align with late-summer climatology, where average highs decline from early-month peaks near 35°C amid moderating monsoon influences, increased cloud cover, and higher humidity that limits daytime heating. Recent model runs show consistency around 32°C as the most probable outcome, with minor variations in steering patterns or precipitation timing the primary sources of uncertainty that keep adjacent bins competitive in trader sentiment. Official observations tomorrow will determine resolution based on the verified daily maximum at standard stations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$6,341結束日期
2026-08-17市場開放時間
Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ETCurrent meteorological forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate a peak temperature in Beijing on August 17 most likely reaching 31–33°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms possible. These conditions align with late-summer climatology, where average highs decline from early-month peaks near 35°C amid moderating monsoon influences, increased cloud cover, and higher humidity that limits daytime heating. Recent model runs show consistency around 32°C as the most probable outcome, with minor variations in steering patterns or precipitation timing the primary sources of uncertainty that keep adjacent bins competitive in trader sentiment. Official observations tomorrow will determine resolution based on the verified daily maximum at standard stations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions