Current ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF, Met Office, and KNMI converge on a daily maximum of 21–22°C in Amsterdam on August 19, driven by moderate westerly flow and partial cloud cover that limits strong daytime heating under stable high pressure. This places the market’s leading outcomes—21°C at 42.5% and 22°C at 36.5%—in close alignment with model consensus and historical mid-August averages near 21–22°C. Minor differences in predicted cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing could shift the peak by 1°C, which explains the narrow spread and elevated probability on 20°C. Updated high-resolution runs and official observations through the afternoon will determine final resolution before the daily maximum is recorded.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月19日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
8月19日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
21°C 43%
22°C 37%
20°C 15%
23°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-19
16°C或以下
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
5%
20°C
15%
21°C
43%
22°C
37%
23°C
6%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C或以上
<1%
21°C 43%
22°C 37%
20°C 15%
23°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-19
16°C或以下
$114 交易量
<1%
17°C
$115 交易量
<1%
18°C
$107 交易量
1%
19°C
$292 交易量
5%
20°C
$234 交易量
15%
21°C
$515 交易量
43%
22°C
$1,102 交易量
37%
23°C
$247 交易量
6%
24°C
$147 交易量
1%
25°C
$114 交易量
1%
26°C或以上
$88 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF, Met Office, and KNMI converge on a daily maximum of 21–22°C in Amsterdam on August 19, driven by moderate westerly flow and partial cloud cover that limits strong daytime heating under stable high pressure. This places the market’s leading outcomes—21°C at 42.5% and 22°C at 36.5%—in close alignment with model consensus and historical mid-August averages near 21–22°C. Minor differences in predicted cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing could shift the peak by 1°C, which explains the narrow spread and elevated probability on 20°C. Updated high-resolution runs and official observations through the afternoon will determine final resolution before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$3,074結束日期
2026-08-19市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF, Met Office, and KNMI converge on a daily maximum of 21–22°C in Amsterdam on August 19, driven by moderate westerly flow and partial cloud cover that limits strong daytime heating under stable high pressure. This places the market’s leading outcomes—21°C at 42.5% and 22°C at 36.5%—in close alignment with model consensus and historical mid-August averages near 21–22°C. Minor differences in predicted cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing could shift the peak by 1°C, which explains the narrow spread and elevated probability on 20°C. Updated high-resolution runs and official observations through the afternoon will determine final resolution before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,074結束日期
2026-08-19市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETCurrent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF, Met Office, and KNMI converge on a daily maximum of 21–22°C in Amsterdam on August 19, driven by moderate westerly flow and partial cloud cover that limits strong daytime heating under stable high pressure. This places the market’s leading outcomes—21°C at 42.5% and 22°C at 36.5%—in close alignment with model consensus and historical mid-August averages near 21–22°C. Minor differences in predicted cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing could shift the peak by 1°C, which explains the narrow spread and elevated probability on 20°C. Updated high-resolution runs and official observations through the afternoon will determine final resolution before the daily maximum is recorded.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions