Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity across western Luzon, including Metro Manila, continues to drive cloud cover, scattered to heavy showers, and suppressed daytime heating through August 17. Official PAGASA guidance for the date projects a maximum of 32°C with a 70% rain probability, while recent model runs and extended outlooks from AccuWeather and timeanddate cluster highs near 28–30°C amid widespread thunderstorms and overcast skies. These conditions contrast with typical August climatology (average highs near 30–31°C), favoring lower maxima as moisture and reduced insolation limit surface warming. The market’s concentration on 28–29°C therefore reflects the consensus that ongoing monsoon rains will cap the daily peak below the seasonal mean.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月17日馬尼拉的最高溫度?
29°C 47%
28°C 30%
30°C 17%
31°C 6%
23°C或以下
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
5%
28°C
30%
29°C
47%
30°C
17%
31°C
6%
32°C
2%
33°C或以上
1%
29°C 47%
28°C 30%
30°C 17%
31°C 6%
23°C或以下
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
5%
28°C
30%
29°C
47%
30°C
17%
31°C
6%
32°C
2%
33°C或以上
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 15, 2026, 4:09 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity across western Luzon, including Metro Manila, continues to drive cloud cover, scattered to heavy showers, and suppressed daytime heating through August 17. Official PAGASA guidance for the date projects a maximum of 32°C with a 70% rain probability, while recent model runs and extended outlooks from AccuWeather and timeanddate cluster highs near 28–30°C amid widespread thunderstorms and overcast skies. These conditions contrast with typical August climatology (average highs near 30–31°C), favoring lower maxima as moisture and reduced insolation limit surface warming. The market’s concentration on 28–29°C therefore reflects the consensus that ongoing monsoon rains will cap the daily peak below the seasonal mean.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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