Consensus forecasts from meteorological agencies position 21°C as the leading outcome for Amsterdam's maximum temperature on August 17, reflecting a typical late-summer synoptic pattern with moderate Atlantic airflow, increased cloud cover, and light showers that limit diurnal heating. Official guidance, including Met Office projections of 21°C and supporting runs from regional models, aligns closely with August climatology where daily highs average near 21°C. The market-implied distribution—concentrated on 20–22°C—captures ensemble uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and timing of any clearing, with lower probabilities for 23°C+ underscoring limited potential for stronger insolation or warmer advection. New model updates overnight will refine these odds ahead of resolution based on official station readings.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月17日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
8月17日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
21°C 50%
22°C 23%
20°C 18%
23°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-17
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
5%
20°C
18%
21°C
50%
22°C
23%
23°C
6%
24°C
2%
25°C
1%
26°C或以上
<1%
21°C 50%
22°C 23%
20°C 18%
23°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-17
16°C or below
$122 交易量
<1%
17°C
$6 交易量
1%
18°C
$59 交易量
2%
19°C
$178 交易量
5%
20°C
$181 交易量
18%
21°C
$913 交易量
50%
22°C
$160 交易量
23%
23°C
$181 交易量
6%
24°C
$209 交易量
2%
25°C
$26 交易量
1%
26°C或以上
$131 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Consensus forecasts from meteorological agencies position 21°C as the leading outcome for Amsterdam's maximum temperature on August 17, reflecting a typical late-summer synoptic pattern with moderate Atlantic airflow, increased cloud cover, and light showers that limit diurnal heating. Official guidance, including Met Office projections of 21°C and supporting runs from regional models, aligns closely with August climatology where daily highs average near 21°C. The market-implied distribution—concentrated on 20–22°C—captures ensemble uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and timing of any clearing, with lower probabilities for 23°C+ underscoring limited potential for stronger insolation or warmer advection. New model updates overnight will refine these odds ahead of resolution based on official station readings.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
交易量
$2,166結束日期
2026-08-17市場開放時間
Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Consensus forecasts from meteorological agencies position 21°C as the leading outcome for Amsterdam's maximum temperature on August 17, reflecting a typical late-summer synoptic pattern with moderate Atlantic airflow, increased cloud cover, and light showers that limit diurnal heating. Official guidance, including Met Office projections of 21°C and supporting runs from regional models, aligns closely with August climatology where daily highs average near 21°C. The market-implied distribution—concentrated on 20–22°C—captures ensemble uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and timing of any clearing, with lower probabilities for 23°C+ underscoring limited potential for stronger insolation or warmer advection. New model updates overnight will refine these odds ahead of resolution based on official station readings.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,166結束日期
2026-08-17市場開放時間
Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ETConsensus forecasts from meteorological agencies position 21°C as the leading outcome for Amsterdam's maximum temperature on August 17, reflecting a typical late-summer synoptic pattern with moderate Atlantic airflow, increased cloud cover, and light showers that limit diurnal heating. Official guidance, including Met Office projections of 21°C and supporting runs from regional models, aligns closely with August climatology where daily highs average near 21°C. The market-implied distribution—concentrated on 20–22°C—captures ensemble uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and timing of any clearing, with lower probabilities for 23°C+ underscoring limited potential for stronger insolation or warmer advection. New model updates overnight will refine these odds ahead of resolution based on official station readings.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions