Current National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a Houston high of 95–98°F on August 17, anchoring trader sentiment around the 96–97°F bin. Persistent subtropical ridging under weak steering flow favors mostly sunny skies with minimal cloud cover or precipitation, allowing strong August insolation to drive temperatures near or slightly above the 96°F seasonal average. Recent model runs show limited spread, with European and GFS solutions converging on peak readings in the mid-to-upper 90s rather than triple digits, while historical climatology indicates only rare excursions above 100°F this late in summer without stronger synoptic support. Updated forecasts tomorrow morning will refine the exact maximum before market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月17日休斯敦的最高溫度?
96-97°F 52%
98-99°F 23%
94-95°F 19%
100-101°F 4%
$15,259 交易量
$15,259 交易量
89°F或以下
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
19%
96-97°F
52%
98-99°F
23%
100-101°F
4%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
攝氏108度或以上
<1%
96-97°F 52%
98-99°F 23%
94-95°F 19%
100-101°F 4%
$15,259 交易量
$15,259 交易量
89°F或以下
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
19%
96-97°F
52%
98-99°F
23%
100-101°F
4%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
攝氏108度或以上
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 15, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a Houston high of 95–98°F on August 17, anchoring trader sentiment around the 96–97°F bin. Persistent subtropical ridging under weak steering flow favors mostly sunny skies with minimal cloud cover or precipitation, allowing strong August insolation to drive temperatures near or slightly above the 96°F seasonal average. Recent model runs show limited spread, with European and GFS solutions converging on peak readings in the mid-to-upper 90s rather than triple digits, while historical climatology indicates only rare excursions above 100°F this late in summer without stronger synoptic support. Updated forecasts tomorrow morning will refine the exact maximum before market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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