Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance indicates Austin highs of 102–103 °F on August 17 under persistent high pressure and south-southeasterly flow, explaining the near-even market split between the 100–101 °F (41 %) and 102–103 °F (46.5 %) bins. Day-to-day variability stems from subtle differences in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing depth, and dew-point advection that can shift the peak by 1–2 °F, while climatological August maxima near 97 °F and recent heat-wave analogs support limited upside beyond 104 °F. Official thermometer readings at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport will resolve the market once the daily maximum is certified.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月17日奧斯汀的最高溫度?
102-103°F 47%
100-101°F 41%
104-105°F 7%
98-99°F 6%
93°F或以下
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
6%
100-101°F
41%
102-103°F
47%
104-105°F
7%
106-107°F
1%
108-109°F
1%
110-111°F
<1%
112°F或更高
<1%
102-103°F 47%
100-101°F 41%
104-105°F 7%
98-99°F 6%
93°F或以下
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
6%
100-101°F
41%
102-103°F
47%
104-105°F
7%
106-107°F
1%
108-109°F
1%
110-111°F
<1%
112°F或更高
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 15, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance indicates Austin highs of 102–103 °F on August 17 under persistent high pressure and south-southeasterly flow, explaining the near-even market split between the 100–101 °F (41 %) and 102–103 °F (46.5 %) bins. Day-to-day variability stems from subtle differences in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing depth, and dew-point advection that can shift the peak by 1–2 °F, while climatological August maxima near 97 °F and recent heat-wave analogs support limited upside beyond 104 °F. Official thermometer readings at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport will resolve the market once the daily maximum is certified.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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