Environment Canada’s official forecast calls for a high of 26°C in Toronto on August 16 under mostly cloudy skies with a 70% chance of showers, keeping surface heating limited compared to clearer conditions. This places the market-implied probabilities tightly between 25°C and 26°C as traders weigh model spread in timing and intensity of any precipitation, which can suppress peak temperatures by 1–2°C through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Typical August climatology for the region shows mean daily maxima near 25°C, with interannual variability driven by steering patterns and lake-breeze effects from Lake Ontario. Updated model runs and real-time observations will resolve the narrow gap before market close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月16日多倫多氣溫最高？
8月16日多倫多氣溫最高？
26°C 41%
25°C 32%
27°C 15%
24°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-16
22°C or below
2%
23°C
4%
24°C
10%
25°C
32%
26°C
41%
27°C
15%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 41%
25°C 32%
27°C 15%
24°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-16
22°C or below
$105 交易量
2%
23°C
$390 交易量
4%
24°C
$573 交易量
10%
25°C
$278 交易量
32%
26°C
$436 交易量
41%
27°C
$674 交易量
15%
28°C
$303 交易量
2%
29°C
$376 交易量
2%
30°C
$293 交易量
1%
31°C
$191 交易量
<1%
32°C or higher
$1,635 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Environment Canada’s official forecast calls for a high of 26°C in Toronto on August 16 under mostly cloudy skies with a 70% chance of showers, keeping surface heating limited compared to clearer conditions. This places the market-implied probabilities tightly between 25°C and 26°C as traders weigh model spread in timing and intensity of any precipitation, which can suppress peak temperatures by 1–2°C through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Typical August climatology for the region shows mean daily maxima near 25°C, with interannual variability driven by steering patterns and lake-breeze effects from Lake Ontario. Updated model runs and real-time observations will resolve the narrow gap before market close.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
交易量
$5,255結束日期
2026-08-16市場開放時間
Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Environment Canada’s official forecast calls for a high of 26°C in Toronto on August 16 under mostly cloudy skies with a 70% chance of showers, keeping surface heating limited compared to clearer conditions. This places the market-implied probabilities tightly between 25°C and 26°C as traders weigh model spread in timing and intensity of any precipitation, which can suppress peak temperatures by 1–2°C through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Typical August climatology for the region shows mean daily maxima near 25°C, with interannual variability driven by steering patterns and lake-breeze effects from Lake Ontario. Updated model runs and real-time observations will resolve the narrow gap before market close.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,255結束日期
2026-08-16市場開放時間
Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ETEnvironment Canada’s official forecast calls for a high of 26°C in Toronto on August 16 under mostly cloudy skies with a 70% chance of showers, keeping surface heating limited compared to clearer conditions. This places the market-implied probabilities tightly between 25°C and 26°C as traders weigh model spread in timing and intensity of any precipitation, which can suppress peak temperatures by 1–2°C through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Typical August climatology for the region shows mean daily maxima near 25°C, with interannual variability driven by steering patterns and lake-breeze effects from Lake Ontario. Updated model runs and real-time observations will resolve the narrow gap before market close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions