Forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and specialized outlooks indicate a peak temperature near 29–30°C for São Paulo on August 17, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and dry winter conditions typical of the region's subtropical climate. These factors promote strong daytime solar heating and limited cloud cover or precipitation, pushing the daily maximum above the August average of 23–25°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 47.5% implied probability for exactly 30°C and 28% for 29°C, aligns with hourly projections reaching 30.1°C mid-afternoon before evening cooling. Model consensus remains tight around these values, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could adjust the final observed high recorded by official stations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月17日聖保羅的最高溫度？
8月17日聖保羅的最高溫度？
30°C 48%
29°C 28%
31°C 13%
28°C 11%
最新
$10,832 交易量
最新
$10,832 交易量
2026-08-17
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
11%
29°C
28%
30°C
48%
31°C
13%
32°C or higher
3%
30°C 48%
29°C 28%
31°C 13%
28°C 11%
最新
$10,832 交易量
最新
$10,832 交易量
2026-08-17
22°C or below
$322 交易量
<1%
23°C
$323 交易量
<1%
24°C
$1,079 交易量
<1%
25°C
$945 交易量
<1%
26°C
$736 交易量
1%
27°C
$583 交易量
3%
28°C
$454 交易量
11%
29°C
$1,470 交易量
28%
30°C
$2,481 交易量
48%
31°C
$1,747 交易量
13%
32°C or higher
$691 交易量
3%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and specialized outlooks indicate a peak temperature near 29–30°C for São Paulo on August 17, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and dry winter conditions typical of the region's subtropical climate. These factors promote strong daytime solar heating and limited cloud cover or precipitation, pushing the daily maximum above the August average of 23–25°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 47.5% implied probability for exactly 30°C and 28% for 29°C, aligns with hourly projections reaching 30.1°C mid-afternoon before evening cooling. Model consensus remains tight around these values, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could adjust the final observed high recorded by official stations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 15, 2026, 9:55 PM ET
交易量
$10,832結束日期
2026-08-17市場開放時間
Aug 15, 2026, 9:55 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and specialized outlooks indicate a peak temperature near 29–30°C for São Paulo on August 17, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and dry winter conditions typical of the region's subtropical climate. These factors promote strong daytime solar heating and limited cloud cover or precipitation, pushing the daily maximum above the August average of 23–25°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 47.5% implied probability for exactly 30°C and 28% for 29°C, aligns with hourly projections reaching 30.1°C mid-afternoon before evening cooling. Model consensus remains tight around these values, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could adjust the final observed high recorded by official stations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$10,832結束日期
2026-08-17市場開放時間
Aug 15, 2026, 9:55 PM ETForecast models from sources like AccuWeather and specialized outlooks indicate a peak temperature near 29–30°C for São Paulo on August 17, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and dry winter conditions typical of the region's subtropical climate. These factors promote strong daytime solar heating and limited cloud cover or precipitation, pushing the daily maximum above the August average of 23–25°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 47.5% implied probability for exactly 30°C and 28% for 29°C, aligns with hourly projections reaching 30.1°C mid-afternoon before evening cooling. Model consensus remains tight around these values, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could adjust the final observed high recorded by official stations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions