Trader consensus for Shenzhen's highest temperature on August 17 clusters around 33–34°C because short-range numerical weather models show only modest differences in predicted afternoon convection, cloud cover, and boundary-layer moisture under subtropical high pressure. Regional sea-breeze circulation and high humidity typically cap daytime maxima near these levels, while ensemble guidance from meteorological agencies highlights a narrow spread that leaves room for 35°C if subsidence strengthens or skies clear more than expected. Recent upper-level patterns have favored stable conditions, yet inherent model uncertainty and the timing of any diurnal heating peak keep the 32°C and 35°C outcomes within striking distance. Overnight forecast updates incorporating new satellite and surface observations will likely sharpen these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月17日深圳最高溫度?
34°C 32%
33°C 24%
32°C 14%
35°C 11%
$24,516 交易量
$24,516 交易量
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
6%
32°C
14%
33°C
24%
34°C
32%
35°C
11%
36°C
6%
37°C or higher
1%
34°C 32%
33°C 24%
32°C 14%
35°C 11%
$24,516 交易量
$24,516 交易量
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
6%
32°C
14%
33°C
24%
34°C
32%
35°C
11%
36°C
6%
37°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader consensus for Shenzhen's highest temperature on August 17 clusters around 33–34°C because short-range numerical weather models show only modest differences in predicted afternoon convection, cloud cover, and boundary-layer moisture under subtropical high pressure. Regional sea-breeze circulation and high humidity typically cap daytime maxima near these levels, while ensemble guidance from meteorological agencies highlights a narrow spread that leaves room for 35°C if subsidence strengthens or skies clear more than expected. Recent upper-level patterns have favored stable conditions, yet inherent model uncertainty and the timing of any diurnal heating peak keep the 32°C and 35°C outcomes within striking distance. Overnight forecast updates incorporating new satellite and surface observations will likely sharpen these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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