Recent ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and regional models indicate Beijing’s August 19 high temperature will likely reach 31–32 °C under partly cloudy skies, with modest diurnal heating constrained by residual atmospheric moisture and possible scattered showers or thunderstorms. These conditions align with the late-summer pattern of gradually declining highs across northern China, where August averages near 30–31 °C and cloud cover frequently caps peaks below historical extremes. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 31–32 °C because small variations in timing or intensity of any precipitation could shift the daily maximum by 1 °C, while stronger subsidence or clearer skies would favor the lower-probability 33 °C outcome. Updated model runs and official guidance expected overnight will provide the next key data points for resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月19日北京最高溫度？
8月19日北京最高溫度？
32°C 35%
31°C 34%
33°C 17%
30°C 9%
最新
$19,056 交易量
最新
$19,056 交易量
2026-08-19
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
9%
31°C
34%
32°C
35%
33°C
17%
34°C
4%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 35%
31°C 34%
33°C 17%
30°C 9%
最新
$19,056 交易量
最新
$19,056 交易量
2026-08-19
27°C or below
$588 交易量
<1%
28°C
$581 交易量
<1%
29°C
$1,322 交易量
3%
30°C
$1,609 交易量
9%
31°C
$1,454 交易量
34%
32°C
$5,349 交易量
35%
33°C
$2,813 交易量
17%
34°C
$2,335 交易量
4%
35°C
$965 交易量
1%
36°C
$1,825 交易量
<1%
37°C or higher
$215 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and regional models indicate Beijing’s August 19 high temperature will likely reach 31–32 °C under partly cloudy skies, with modest diurnal heating constrained by residual atmospheric moisture and possible scattered showers or thunderstorms. These conditions align with the late-summer pattern of gradually declining highs across northern China, where August averages near 30–31 °C and cloud cover frequently caps peaks below historical extremes. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 31–32 °C because small variations in timing or intensity of any precipitation could shift the daily maximum by 1 °C, while stronger subsidence or clearer skies would favor the lower-probability 33 °C outcome. Updated model runs and official guidance expected overnight will provide the next key data points for resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$19,056結束日期
2026-08-19市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and regional models indicate Beijing’s August 19 high temperature will likely reach 31–32 °C under partly cloudy skies, with modest diurnal heating constrained by residual atmospheric moisture and possible scattered showers or thunderstorms. These conditions align with the late-summer pattern of gradually declining highs across northern China, where August averages near 30–31 °C and cloud cover frequently caps peaks below historical extremes. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 31–32 °C because small variations in timing or intensity of any precipitation could shift the daily maximum by 1 °C, while stronger subsidence or clearer skies would favor the lower-probability 33 °C outcome. Updated model runs and official guidance expected overnight will provide the next key data points for resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$19,056結束日期
2026-08-19市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and regional models indicate Beijing’s August 19 high temperature will likely reach 31–32 °C under partly cloudy skies, with modest diurnal heating constrained by residual atmospheric moisture and possible scattered showers or thunderstorms. These conditions align with the late-summer pattern of gradually declining highs across northern China, where August averages near 30–31 °C and cloud cover frequently caps peaks below historical extremes. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 31–32 °C because small variations in timing or intensity of any precipitation could shift the daily maximum by 1 °C, while stronger subsidence or clearer skies would favor the lower-probability 33 °C outcome. Updated model runs and official guidance expected overnight will provide the next key data points for resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions