**Traders heavily favor the 96-97°F bin at 67.5% because National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on August 18 call for a high near 97°F under mostly sunny skies, consistent with late-summer climatology where daily maxima typically peak in the mid-90s.** Persistent upper-level ridging and southerly flow have maintained hot, humid conditions without significant moisture or frontal relief expected overnight, keeping heat indices elevated. The 25% odds on 98-99°F capture minor upside risk from model variability or localized heating, while lower bins reflect slim chances of greater cooling or cloud cover. Upcoming NWS updates and morning model runs will refine these market-implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月18日休斯敦的最高溫度？
8月18日休斯敦的最高溫度？
96-97°F 68%
98-99°F 25%
94-95°F 6%
100-101°F 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-18
89°F或以下
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
6%
96-97°F
68%
98-99°F
25%
100-101°F
4%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F或以上
<1%
96-97°F 68%
98-99°F 25%
94-95°F 6%
100-101°F 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-18
89°F或以下
$307 交易量
<1%
90-91°F
$568 交易量
1%
92-93°F
$554 交易量
2%
94-95°F
$341 交易量
6%
96-97°F
$1,854 交易量
68%
98-99°F
$412 交易量
25%
100-101°F
$560 交易量
4%
102-103°F
$187 交易量
<1%
104-105°F
$265 交易量
<1%
106-107°F
$265 交易量
<1%
108°F或以上
$105 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Traders heavily favor the 96-97°F bin at 67.5% because National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on August 18 call for a high near 97°F under mostly sunny skies, consistent with late-summer climatology where daily maxima typically peak in the mid-90s.**
Persistent upper-level ridging and southerly flow have maintained hot, humid conditions without significant moisture or frontal relief expected overnight, keeping heat indices elevated. The 25% odds on 98-99°F capture minor upside risk from model variability or localized heating, while lower bins reflect slim chances of greater cooling or cloud cover. Upcoming NWS updates and morning model runs will refine these market-implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 16, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
交易量
$5,418結束日期
2026-08-18市場開放時間
Aug 16, 2026, 9:57 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Traders heavily favor the 96-97°F bin at 67.5% because National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on August 18 call for a high near 97°F under mostly sunny skies, consistent with late-summer climatology where daily maxima typically peak in the mid-90s.**
Persistent upper-level ridging and southerly flow have maintained hot, humid conditions without significant moisture or frontal relief expected overnight, keeping heat indices elevated. The 25% odds on 98-99°F capture minor upside risk from model variability or localized heating, while lower bins reflect slim chances of greater cooling or cloud cover. Upcoming NWS updates and morning model runs will refine these market-implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,418結束日期
2026-08-18市場開放時間
Aug 16, 2026, 9:57 PM ET**Traders heavily favor the 96-97°F bin at 67.5% because National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on August 18 call for a high near 97°F under mostly sunny skies, consistent with late-summer climatology where daily maxima typically peak in the mid-90s.** Persistent upper-level ridging and southerly flow have maintained hot, humid conditions without significant moisture or frontal relief expected overnight, keeping heat indices elevated. The 25% odds on 98-99°F capture minor upside risk from model variability or localized heating, while lower bins reflect slim chances of greater cooling or cloud cover. Upcoming NWS updates and morning model runs will refine these market-implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions