Recent heavy rainfall across the Sichuan Basin on August 17–18 has suppressed daytime heating by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling, keeping maximum temperatures near 27–28°C and driving the tight clustering around those market outcomes. Subtropical monsoon conditions, high humidity, and the basin’s topography often limit afternoon warming even under partial clearing expected on the 19th. Numerical models show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and insolation, with most guidance converging on highs of 27–30°C rather than seasonal peaks near 33°C. Trader consensus reflects this near-term stabilization ahead of the final forecast updates from the China Meteorological Administration.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月19日成都最高溫度？
8月19日成都最高溫度？
28°C 30%
27°C 29%
29°C 16%
26°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-19
23°C or below
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
5%
26°C
13%
27°C
29%
28°C
30%
29°C
16%
30°C
8%
31°C
5%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 30%
27°C 29%
29°C 16%
26°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-19
23°C or below
$1,222 交易量
1%
24°C
$266 交易量
3%
25°C
$29 交易量
5%
26°C
$38 交易量
13%
27°C
$77 交易量
29%
28°C
$53 交易量
30%
29°C
$38 交易量
16%
30°C
$24 交易量
8%
31°C
$52 交易量
5%
32°C
$5 交易量
1%
33°C or higher
$16 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heavy rainfall across the Sichuan Basin on August 17–18 has suppressed daytime heating by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling, keeping maximum temperatures near 27–28°C and driving the tight clustering around those market outcomes. Subtropical monsoon conditions, high humidity, and the basin’s topography often limit afternoon warming even under partial clearing expected on the 19th. Numerical models show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and insolation, with most guidance converging on highs of 27–30°C rather than seasonal peaks near 33°C. Trader consensus reflects this near-term stabilization ahead of the final forecast updates from the China Meteorological Administration.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$1,820結束日期
2026-08-19市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heavy rainfall across the Sichuan Basin on August 17–18 has suppressed daytime heating by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling, keeping maximum temperatures near 27–28°C and driving the tight clustering around those market outcomes. Subtropical monsoon conditions, high humidity, and the basin’s topography often limit afternoon warming even under partial clearing expected on the 19th. Numerical models show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and insolation, with most guidance converging on highs of 27–30°C rather than seasonal peaks near 33°C. Trader consensus reflects this near-term stabilization ahead of the final forecast updates from the China Meteorological Administration.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,820結束日期
2026-08-19市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent heavy rainfall across the Sichuan Basin on August 17–18 has suppressed daytime heating by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling, keeping maximum temperatures near 27–28°C and driving the tight clustering around those market outcomes. Subtropical monsoon conditions, high humidity, and the basin’s topography often limit afternoon warming even under partial clearing expected on the 19th. Numerical models show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and insolation, with most guidance converging on highs of 27–30°C rather than seasonal peaks near 33°C. Trader consensus reflects this near-term stabilization ahead of the final forecast updates from the China Meteorological Administration.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions