Current forecast models from regional meteorological services point to stable late-summer Mediterranean conditions driving the leading 28°C (37%) and 29°C (26.5%) outcomes for Istanbul's August 20 maximum. These align with long-term August climatology of 27–31°C daily highs and recent observations showing 28–30°C peaks under clear skies and light winds. No significant heat advection, cold fronts, or urban heat island amplification appears in the latest runs, keeping 30°C+ probabilities modest at 11–17%. Traders are weighting ensemble consensus heavily as the two-day window narrows, with minor shifts possible from updated high-resolution guidance on sea-breeze effects or localized cloud cover.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月20日伊斯坦布爾的最高溫度？
8月20日伊斯坦布爾的最高溫度？
28°C 38%
29°C 27%
27°C 18%
30°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-20
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
6%
27°C
18%
28°C
38%
29°C
27%
30°C
11%
31°C
4%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 38%
29°C 27%
27°C 18%
30°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-20
23°C or below
$235 交易量
<1%
24°C
$191 交易量
1%
25°C
$69 交易量
2%
26°C
$1,165 交易量
6%
27°C
$397 交易量
18%
28°C
$313 交易量
38%
29°C
$951 交易量
27%
30°C
$156 交易量
11%
31°C
$156 交易量
4%
32°C
$114 交易量
2%
33°C or higher
$505 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from regional meteorological services point to stable late-summer Mediterranean conditions driving the leading 28°C (37%) and 29°C (26.5%) outcomes for Istanbul's August 20 maximum. These align with long-term August climatology of 27–31°C daily highs and recent observations showing 28–30°C peaks under clear skies and light winds. No significant heat advection, cold fronts, or urban heat island amplification appears in the latest runs, keeping 30°C+ probabilities modest at 11–17%. Traders are weighting ensemble consensus heavily as the two-day window narrows, with minor shifts possible from updated high-resolution guidance on sea-breeze effects or localized cloud cover.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$4,252結束日期
2026-08-20市場開放時間
Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from regional meteorological services point to stable late-summer Mediterranean conditions driving the leading 28°C (37%) and 29°C (26.5%) outcomes for Istanbul's August 20 maximum. These align with long-term August climatology of 27–31°C daily highs and recent observations showing 28–30°C peaks under clear skies and light winds. No significant heat advection, cold fronts, or urban heat island amplification appears in the latest runs, keeping 30°C+ probabilities modest at 11–17%. Traders are weighting ensemble consensus heavily as the two-day window narrows, with minor shifts possible from updated high-resolution guidance on sea-breeze effects or localized cloud cover.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,252結束日期
2026-08-20市場開放時間
Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from regional meteorological services point to stable late-summer Mediterranean conditions driving the leading 28°C (37%) and 29°C (26.5%) outcomes for Istanbul's August 20 maximum. These align with long-term August climatology of 27–31°C daily highs and recent observations showing 28–30°C peaks under clear skies and light winds. No significant heat advection, cold fronts, or urban heat island amplification appears in the latest runs, keeping 30°C+ probabilities modest at 11–17%. Traders are weighting ensemble consensus heavily as the two-day window narrows, with minor shifts possible from updated high-resolution guidance on sea-breeze effects or localized cloud cover.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions