Southwest monsoon activity, enhanced by a nearby low-pressure area, drives the tight clustering around 30–32°C for Manila's August 20 high. Persistent cloud cover, scattered to heavy rains, and thunderstorms limit solar heating and promote evaporative cooling, keeping daytime maxima near the seasonal average of 30–31°C reported by PAGASA and AccuWeather. Model consensus shows variable rain timing that could allow brief clearing for 32–33°C peaks or sustain overcast conditions capping readings at 29–30°C. Official outlooks list a 26–33°C range for the day, with resolution hinging on the precise intensity and duration of monsoon-enhanced precipitation over Metro Manila.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月20日馬尼拉的最高溫度？
8月20日馬尼拉的最高溫度？
31°C 30%
30°C 19%
32°C 17%
29°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-20
25°C或以下
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
8%
29°C
12%
30°C
19%
31°C
30%
32°C
17%
33°C
11%
34°C
3%
35°C或以上
1%
31°C 30%
30°C 19%
32°C 17%
29°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-20
25°C或以下
$196 交易量
1%
26°C
$28 交易量
<1%
27°C
$13 交易量
1%
28°C
$20 交易量
8%
29°C
$5 交易量
12%
30°C
$0 交易量
19%
31°C
$0 交易量
30%
32°C
$0 交易量
17%
33°C
$1 交易量
11%
34°C
$126 交易量
3%
35°C或以上
$7 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Southwest monsoon activity, enhanced by a nearby low-pressure area, drives the tight clustering around 30–32°C for Manila's August 20 high. Persistent cloud cover, scattered to heavy rains, and thunderstorms limit solar heating and promote evaporative cooling, keeping daytime maxima near the seasonal average of 30–31°C reported by PAGASA and AccuWeather. Model consensus shows variable rain timing that could allow brief clearing for 32–33°C peaks or sustain overcast conditions capping readings at 29–30°C. Official outlooks list a 26–33°C range for the day, with resolution hinging on the precise intensity and duration of monsoon-enhanced precipitation over Metro Manila.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$396結束日期
2026-08-20市場開放時間
Aug 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Southwest monsoon activity, enhanced by a nearby low-pressure area, drives the tight clustering around 30–32°C for Manila's August 20 high. Persistent cloud cover, scattered to heavy rains, and thunderstorms limit solar heating and promote evaporative cooling, keeping daytime maxima near the seasonal average of 30–31°C reported by PAGASA and AccuWeather. Model consensus shows variable rain timing that could allow brief clearing for 32–33°C peaks or sustain overcast conditions capping readings at 29–30°C. Official outlooks list a 26–33°C range for the day, with resolution hinging on the precise intensity and duration of monsoon-enhanced precipitation over Metro Manila.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$396結束日期
2026-08-20市場開放時間
Aug 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSouthwest monsoon activity, enhanced by a nearby low-pressure area, drives the tight clustering around 30–32°C for Manila's August 20 high. Persistent cloud cover, scattered to heavy rains, and thunderstorms limit solar heating and promote evaporative cooling, keeping daytime maxima near the seasonal average of 30–31°C reported by PAGASA and AccuWeather. Model consensus shows variable rain timing that could allow brief clearing for 32–33°C peaks or sustain overcast conditions capping readings at 29–30°C. Official outlooks list a 26–33°C range for the day, with resolution hinging on the precise intensity and duration of monsoon-enhanced precipitation over Metro Manila.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions