NWS short-range models and major ensembles indicate a modest warming trend for downtown Los Angeles on August 17 driven by building high pressure and reduced marine-layer influence, positioning the highest temperature most likely in the upper 70s. This consensus underpins the market’s strong weighting on the 78-79°F outcome at 56% implied probability, with 76-77°F at 30.5%. Persistent onshore flow and sea-breeze timing remain key uncertainties that could cap readings near LAX or the official station, while historical August baselines show coastal highs typically ranging from the mid-70s to low-80s absent strong offshore warming. Updated model runs and NWS briefings through the evening of the 16th will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於洛杉磯8月17日的最高溫度？
洛杉磯8月17日的最高溫度？
78-79°F 59%
76-77°F 29%
80-81°F 11%
74-75°F 4%
最新
$17,333 交易量
最新
$17,333 交易量
2026-08-17
67°F或以下
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
4%
76-77°F
29%
78-79°F
59%
80-81°F
11%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
1%
86°F或更高
<1%
78-79°F 59%
76-77°F 29%
80-81°F 11%
74-75°F 4%
最新
$17,333 交易量
最新
$17,333 交易量
2026-08-17
67°F或以下
$50 交易量
<1%
68-69°F
$130 交易量
<1%
70-71°F
$733 交易量
<1%
72-73°F
$717 交易量
1%
74-75°F
$1,127 交易量
4%
76-77°F
$6,173 交易量
29%
78-79°F
$5,394 交易量
59%
80-81°F
$1,134 交易量
11%
82-83°F
$855 交易量
2%
84-85°F
$497 交易量
1%
86°F或更高
$523 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.NWS short-range models and major ensembles indicate a modest warming trend for downtown Los Angeles on August 17 driven by building high pressure and reduced marine-layer influence, positioning the highest temperature most likely in the upper 70s. This consensus underpins the market’s strong weighting on the 78-79°F outcome at 56% implied probability, with 76-77°F at 30.5%. Persistent onshore flow and sea-breeze timing remain key uncertainties that could cap readings near LAX or the official station, while historical August baselines show coastal highs typically ranging from the mid-70s to low-80s absent strong offshore warming. Updated model runs and NWS briefings through the evening of the 16th will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 15, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
交易量
$17,333結束日期
2026-08-17市場開放時間
Aug 15, 2026, 9:57 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.NWS short-range models and major ensembles indicate a modest warming trend for downtown Los Angeles on August 17 driven by building high pressure and reduced marine-layer influence, positioning the highest temperature most likely in the upper 70s. This consensus underpins the market’s strong weighting on the 78-79°F outcome at 56% implied probability, with 76-77°F at 30.5%. Persistent onshore flow and sea-breeze timing remain key uncertainties that could cap readings near LAX or the official station, while historical August baselines show coastal highs typically ranging from the mid-70s to low-80s absent strong offshore warming. Updated model runs and NWS briefings through the evening of the 16th will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$17,333結束日期
2026-08-17市場開放時間
Aug 15, 2026, 9:57 PM ETNWS short-range models and major ensembles indicate a modest warming trend for downtown Los Angeles on August 17 driven by building high pressure and reduced marine-layer influence, positioning the highest temperature most likely in the upper 70s. This consensus underpins the market’s strong weighting on the 78-79°F outcome at 56% implied probability, with 76-77°F at 30.5%. Persistent onshore flow and sea-breeze timing remain key uncertainties that could cap readings near LAX or the official station, while historical August baselines show coastal highs typically ranging from the mid-70s to low-80s absent strong offshore warming. Updated model runs and NWS briefings through the evening of the 16th will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions