Recent short-range forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and international models indicate daytime highs near 31–32°C for August 19 amid typical subtropical summer conditions, with high humidity and scattered showers potentially moderating peak temperatures through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Weak steering flow and residual effects from recent tropical systems contribute to variable cloudiness that limits strong diurnal heating, while climatological baselines for mid-August support maxima around 31–32°C. Market-implied odds remain closely split because small differences in shower timing or intensity could push the daily peak across the 31–32°C threshold, and traders weigh model consensus against historical variability in urban heat island effects at official monitoring sites. Updated guidance ahead of the date will refine these probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月19日香港最高溫度？
8月19日香港最高溫度？
31°C 35%
32°C 33%
30°C 17%
33°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-19
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
17%
31°C
35%
32°C
33%
33°C
13%
34°C
3%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
2%
31°C 35%
32°C 33%
30°C 17%
33°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-19
26°C or below
$286 交易量
<1%
27°C
$516 交易量
<1%
28°C
$95 交易量
1%
29°C
$29 交易量
4%
30°C
$113 交易量
17%
31°C
$229 交易量
35%
32°C
$74 交易量
33%
33°C
$63 交易量
13%
34°C
$126 交易量
3%
35°C
$5 交易量
2%
36°C or higher
$5 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent short-range forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and international models indicate daytime highs near 31–32°C for August 19 amid typical subtropical summer conditions, with high humidity and scattered showers potentially moderating peak temperatures through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Weak steering flow and residual effects from recent tropical systems contribute to variable cloudiness that limits strong diurnal heating, while climatological baselines for mid-August support maxima around 31–32°C. Market-implied odds remain closely split because small differences in shower timing or intensity could push the daily peak across the 31–32°C threshold, and traders weigh model consensus against historical variability in urban heat island effects at official monitoring sites. Updated guidance ahead of the date will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$1,540結束日期
2026-08-19市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent short-range forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and international models indicate daytime highs near 31–32°C for August 19 amid typical subtropical summer conditions, with high humidity and scattered showers potentially moderating peak temperatures through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Weak steering flow and residual effects from recent tropical systems contribute to variable cloudiness that limits strong diurnal heating, while climatological baselines for mid-August support maxima around 31–32°C. Market-implied odds remain closely split because small differences in shower timing or intensity could push the daily peak across the 31–32°C threshold, and traders weigh model consensus against historical variability in urban heat island effects at official monitoring sites. Updated guidance ahead of the date will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$1,540結束日期
2026-08-19市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and international models indicate daytime highs near 31–32°C for August 19 amid typical subtropical summer conditions, with high humidity and scattered showers potentially moderating peak temperatures through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Weak steering flow and residual effects from recent tropical systems contribute to variable cloudiness that limits strong diurnal heating, while climatological baselines for mid-August support maxima around 31–32°C. Market-implied odds remain closely split because small differences in shower timing or intensity could push the daily peak across the 31–32°C threshold, and traders weigh model consensus against historical variability in urban heat island effects at official monitoring sites. Updated guidance ahead of the date will refine these probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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