Marine layer stratus and persistent onshore flow are anchoring trader consensus around 70-73°F for San Francisco’s August 18 high, aligning with National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for partly sunny skies moderated by coastal fog. This range reflects typical late-summer climatology, where average highs hover near 67-70°F and stronger marine influence caps afternoon warming well below inland values. Model runs show limited offshore flow or subsidence that could push readings into the mid-70s, keeping higher brackets at low implied probabilities. Updated forecasts emphasize timing of any marine layer burn-off, with resolution hinging on official observations at key stations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於舊金山8月18日的最高溫度？
舊金山8月18日的最高溫度？
70-71°F 39%
72-73°F 28%
68-69°F 16%
74-75°F 10%
最新
$11,780 交易量
最新
$11,780 交易量
2026-08-18
67°F或以下
6%
68-69°F
16%
70-71°F
39%
72-73°F
28%
74-75°F
10%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F或更高
<1%
70-71°F 39%
72-73°F 28%
68-69°F 16%
74-75°F 10%
最新
$11,780 交易量
最新
$11,780 交易量
2026-08-18
67°F或以下
$1,497 交易量
6%
68-69°F
$827 交易量
16%
70-71°F
$2,544 交易量
39%
72-73°F
$1,012 交易量
28%
74-75°F
$780 交易量
10%
76-77°F
$2,007 交易量
1%
78-79°F
$1,298 交易量
1%
80-81°F
$666 交易量
<1%
82-83°F
$536 交易量
<1%
84-85°F
$502 交易量
<1%
86°F或更高
$110 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Marine layer stratus and persistent onshore flow are anchoring trader consensus around 70-73°F for San Francisco’s August 18 high, aligning with National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for partly sunny skies moderated by coastal fog. This range reflects typical late-summer climatology, where average highs hover near 67-70°F and stronger marine influence caps afternoon warming well below inland values. Model runs show limited offshore flow or subsidence that could push readings into the mid-70s, keeping higher brackets at low implied probabilities. Updated forecasts emphasize timing of any marine layer burn-off, with resolution hinging on official observations at key stations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 16, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
交易量
$11,780結束日期
2026-08-18市場開放時間
Aug 16, 2026, 9:57 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Marine layer stratus and persistent onshore flow are anchoring trader consensus around 70-73°F for San Francisco’s August 18 high, aligning with National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for partly sunny skies moderated by coastal fog. This range reflects typical late-summer climatology, where average highs hover near 67-70°F and stronger marine influence caps afternoon warming well below inland values. Model runs show limited offshore flow or subsidence that could push readings into the mid-70s, keeping higher brackets at low implied probabilities. Updated forecasts emphasize timing of any marine layer burn-off, with resolution hinging on official observations at key stations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$11,780結束日期
2026-08-18市場開放時間
Aug 16, 2026, 9:57 PM ETMarine layer stratus and persistent onshore flow are anchoring trader consensus around 70-73°F for San Francisco’s August 18 high, aligning with National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for partly sunny skies moderated by coastal fog. This range reflects typical late-summer climatology, where average highs hover near 67-70°F and stronger marine influence caps afternoon warming well below inland values. Model runs show limited offshore flow or subsidence that could push readings into the mid-70s, keeping higher brackets at low implied probabilities. Updated forecasts emphasize timing of any marine layer burn-off, with resolution hinging on official observations at key stations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions