Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and the National Weather Service indicate a San Francisco high temperature near 69–70°F on August 17, driven by a moderate marine layer and onshore westerly flow that limits daytime heating along the coast. This keeps readings close to the seasonal normal of about 67–68°F while allowing modest warming if afternoon clearing occurs or the sea breeze weakens. Trader consensus clusters on 68–71°F ranges because ensemble guidance shows limited variability from typical August patterns, with only small upside risk if a stronger high-pressure ridge suppresses the marine layer. Historical data confirm such outcomes dominate, as sustained highs above 73°F remain uncommon without significant offshore flow or broader heat events.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於舊金山8月17日的最高溫度?
68-69°F 37%
70-71°F 35%
72-73°F 14%
66-67°F 11%
61°F或以下
<1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
3%
66-67°F
11%
68-69°F
37%
70-71°F
35%
72-73°F
14%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
<1%
華氏80度或以上
<1%
68-69°F 37%
70-71°F 35%
72-73°F 14%
66-67°F 11%
61°F或以下
<1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
3%
66-67°F
11%
68-69°F
37%
70-71°F
35%
72-73°F
14%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
<1%
華氏80度或以上
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 15, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and the National Weather Service indicate a San Francisco high temperature near 69–70°F on August 17, driven by a moderate marine layer and onshore westerly flow that limits daytime heating along the coast. This keeps readings close to the seasonal normal of about 67–68°F while allowing modest warming if afternoon clearing occurs or the sea breeze weakens. Trader consensus clusters on 68–71°F ranges because ensemble guidance shows limited variability from typical August patterns, with only small upside risk if a stronger high-pressure ridge suppresses the marine layer. Historical data confirm such outcomes dominate, as sustained highs above 73°F remain uncommon without significant offshore flow or broader heat events.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions