Current forecast models from sources like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional point to a modest high near 13–14°C for Buenos Aires on August 18, driven by southerly cold air advection and increased cloud cover that limits daytime warming during Southern Hemisphere winter. This aligns with climatological August averages of 15–17°C but reflects cooler-than-normal steering patterns and recent observations of highs around 15–16°C earlier in the month. Model consensus shows limited spread, though minor shifts in frontal timing could push readings to 15°C or hold them at 12–13°C; traders price the tight clustering around 13–14°C as the highest-probability resolution given these atmospheric conditions and typical diurnal ranges near the Río de la Plata.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月18日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度?
14°C 43%
13°C 33%
15°C 14%
12°C 8%
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
2%
12°C
8%
13°C
33%
14°C
43%
15°C
14%
16°C
3%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
1%
14°C 43%
13°C 33%
15°C 14%
12°C 8%
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
2%
12°C
8%
13°C
33%
14°C
43%
15°C
14%
16°C
3%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 16, 2026, 9:55 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast models from sources like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional point to a modest high near 13–14°C for Buenos Aires on August 18, driven by southerly cold air advection and increased cloud cover that limits daytime warming during Southern Hemisphere winter. This aligns with climatological August averages of 15–17°C but reflects cooler-than-normal steering patterns and recent observations of highs around 15–16°C earlier in the month. Model consensus shows limited spread, though minor shifts in frontal timing could push readings to 15°C or hold them at 12–13°C; traders price the tight clustering around 13–14°C as the highest-probability resolution given these atmospheric conditions and typical diurnal ranges near the Río de la Plata.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions