National Weather Service point forecasts for Denver International Airport indicate a daytime high near 91–93°F on August 18 under mostly sunny skies with light southwesterly flow, aligning with the market’s leading 90–93°F bins that together exceed 60% implied probability. This positioning reflects typical late-August climatology near 87°F, modified by a recent warming and drying trend after mid-month moisture, plus model consensus on boundary-layer mixing and minimal cloud cover that supports peaks in the low 90s. Afternoon thunderstorm development remains the key uncertainty, as any earlier or thicker convective debris could suppress the maximum by 2–4°F, while clearer conditions or stronger downslope winds would favor the upper bins. Updated NWS guidance and short-range model runs expected overnight will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月18日丹佛的最高溫度？
8月18日丹佛的最高溫度？
90-91°F 39%
88-89°F 25%
92-93°F 24%
86-87°F 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-18
77°F或以下
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
7%
88-89°F
25%
90-91°F
39%
92-93°F
24%
94-95°F
5%
96°F或更高
1%
90-91°F 39%
88-89°F 25%
92-93°F 24%
86-87°F 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-18
77°F或以下
$45 交易量
<1%
78-79°F
$192 交易量
<1%
80-81°F
$717 交易量
<1%
82-83°F
$151 交易量
1%
84-85°F
$143 交易量
1%
86-87°F
$632 交易量
7%
88-89°F
$167 交易量
25%
90-91°F
$96 交易量
39%
92-93°F
$336 交易量
24%
94-95°F
$145 交易量
5%
96°F或更高
$116 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service point forecasts for Denver International Airport indicate a daytime high near 91–93°F on August 18 under mostly sunny skies with light southwesterly flow, aligning with the market’s leading 90–93°F bins that together exceed 60% implied probability. This positioning reflects typical late-August climatology near 87°F, modified by a recent warming and drying trend after mid-month moisture, plus model consensus on boundary-layer mixing and minimal cloud cover that supports peaks in the low 90s. Afternoon thunderstorm development remains the key uncertainty, as any earlier or thicker convective debris could suppress the maximum by 2–4°F, while clearer conditions or stronger downslope winds would favor the upper bins. Updated NWS guidance and short-range model runs expected overnight will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 16, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
交易量
$2,740結束日期
2026-08-18市場開放時間
Aug 16, 2026, 9:56 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service point forecasts for Denver International Airport indicate a daytime high near 91–93°F on August 18 under mostly sunny skies with light southwesterly flow, aligning with the market’s leading 90–93°F bins that together exceed 60% implied probability. This positioning reflects typical late-August climatology near 87°F, modified by a recent warming and drying trend after mid-month moisture, plus model consensus on boundary-layer mixing and minimal cloud cover that supports peaks in the low 90s. Afternoon thunderstorm development remains the key uncertainty, as any earlier or thicker convective debris could suppress the maximum by 2–4°F, while clearer conditions or stronger downslope winds would favor the upper bins. Updated NWS guidance and short-range model runs expected overnight will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,740結束日期
2026-08-18市場開放時間
Aug 16, 2026, 9:56 PM ETNational Weather Service point forecasts for Denver International Airport indicate a daytime high near 91–93°F on August 18 under mostly sunny skies with light southwesterly flow, aligning with the market’s leading 90–93°F bins that together exceed 60% implied probability. This positioning reflects typical late-August climatology near 87°F, modified by a recent warming and drying trend after mid-month moisture, plus model consensus on boundary-layer mixing and minimal cloud cover that supports peaks in the low 90s. Afternoon thunderstorm development remains the key uncertainty, as any earlier or thicker convective debris could suppress the maximum by 2–4°F, while clearer conditions or stronger downslope winds would favor the upper bins. Updated NWS guidance and short-range model runs expected overnight will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions