**Warm, stable subtropical conditions are anchoring Miami's overnight low on August 18 near 79–81 °F, driving the market's heavy weighting toward the 78–81 °F bins (combined ~80 % implied probability).** National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance point to mostly clear skies, light easterly winds, and high humidity that limits radiational cooling, keeping minimum temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s—close to the August climatological average of ~78 °F. Recent model runs show no incoming cold fronts, tropical moisture surges, or strong wind shifts that would produce outlier cooling or warming. With resolution occurring in under 24 hours, traders are pricing the narrow range around the consensus forecast, with only modest probability assigned to the tails (below 76 °F or above 82 °F) absent any last-minute forecast shifts from the National Hurricane Center or local offices.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月18日邁阿密的最低溫度？
8月18日邁阿密的最低溫度？
80-81°F 57%
78-79°F 27%
76-77°F 10%
82-83°F 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-18
華氏69度或以下
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
10%
78-79°F
23%
80-81°F
57%
82-83°F
7%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F或更高
<1%
80-81°F 57%
78-79°F 27%
76-77°F 10%
82-83°F 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-18
華氏69度或以下
$99 交易量
<1%
70-71°F
$99 交易量
<1%
72-73°F
$94 交易量
1%
74-75°F
$84 交易量
6%
76-77°F
$187 交易量
10%
78-79°F
$298 交易量
23%
80-81°F
$130 交易量
57%
82-83°F
$184 交易量
7%
84-85°F
$192 交易量
3%
86-87°F
$94 交易量
<1%
88°F或更高
$99 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Warm, stable subtropical conditions are anchoring Miami's overnight low on August 18 near 79–81 °F, driving the market's heavy weighting toward the 78–81 °F bins (combined ~80 % implied probability).**
National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance point to mostly clear skies, light easterly winds, and high humidity that limits radiational cooling, keeping minimum temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s—close to the August climatological average of ~78 °F. Recent model runs show no incoming cold fronts, tropical moisture surges, or strong wind shifts that would produce outlier cooling or warming. With resolution occurring in under 24 hours, traders are pricing the narrow range around the consensus forecast, with only modest probability assigned to the tails (below 76 °F or above 82 °F) absent any last-minute forecast shifts from the National Hurricane Center or local offices.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 16, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
交易量
$1,561結束日期
2026-08-18市場開放時間
Aug 16, 2026, 9:28 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Warm, stable subtropical conditions are anchoring Miami's overnight low on August 18 near 79–81 °F, driving the market's heavy weighting toward the 78–81 °F bins (combined ~80 % implied probability).**
National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance point to mostly clear skies, light easterly winds, and high humidity that limits radiational cooling, keeping minimum temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s—close to the August climatological average of ~78 °F. Recent model runs show no incoming cold fronts, tropical moisture surges, or strong wind shifts that would produce outlier cooling or warming. With resolution occurring in under 24 hours, traders are pricing the narrow range around the consensus forecast, with only modest probability assigned to the tails (below 76 °F or above 82 °F) absent any last-minute forecast shifts from the National Hurricane Center or local offices.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,561結束日期
2026-08-18市場開放時間
Aug 16, 2026, 9:28 PM ET**Warm, stable subtropical conditions are anchoring Miami's overnight low on August 18 near 79–81 °F, driving the market's heavy weighting toward the 78–81 °F bins (combined ~80 % implied probability).** National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance point to mostly clear skies, light easterly winds, and high humidity that limits radiational cooling, keeping minimum temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s—close to the August climatological average of ~78 °F. Recent model runs show no incoming cold fronts, tropical moisture surges, or strong wind shifts that would produce outlier cooling or warming. With resolution occurring in under 24 hours, traders are pricing the narrow range around the consensus forecast, with only modest probability assigned to the tails (below 76 °F or above 82 °F) absent any last-minute forecast shifts from the National Hurricane Center or local offices.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions