Persistent marine layer stratus and moderate onshore flow from the cool California Current suppressed daytime heating across the San Francisco Bay Area on August 16, producing National Weather Service and model guidance centered on a maximum of 68–69°F at official stations. This climatological pattern, reinforced by a strong temperature inversion and sea breezes, kept readings near or slightly below the August average high of 70°F despite clear-sky potential farther inland. Trader consensus at 90.8% implied probability for the 68–69°F bin reflects these verified conditions and historical analogs. A rapid marine-layer erosion or anomalous offshore wind shift could have allowed brief warming toward 72°F, though no such signals appeared in recent observations or model runs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於舊金山8月16日的最高溫度？
舊金山8月16日的最高溫度？
68-69°F 99.2%
70-71°F 1.0%
72-73°F <1%
65°F或以下 <1%
$25,251 交易量
$25,251 交易量
2026-08-16
65°F或以下
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
99%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
華氏84度或以上
<1%
68-69°F 99.2%
70-71°F 1.0%
72-73°F <1%
65°F或以下 <1%
$25,251 交易量
$25,251 交易量
2026-08-16
65°F或以下
$1,434 交易量
<1%
66-67°F
$2,201 交易量
<1%
68-69°F
$5,282 交易量
99%
70-71°F
$3,103 交易量
1%
72-73°F
$3,579 交易量
1%
74-75°F
$3,242 交易量
<1%
76-77°F
$4,153 交易量
<1%
78-79°F
$1,098 交易量
<1%
80-81°F
$382 交易量
<1%
82-83°F
$293 交易量
<1%
華氏84度或以上
$484 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer stratus and moderate onshore flow from the cool California Current suppressed daytime heating across the San Francisco Bay Area on August 16, producing National Weather Service and model guidance centered on a maximum of 68–69°F at official stations. This climatological pattern, reinforced by a strong temperature inversion and sea breezes, kept readings near or slightly below the August average high of 70°F despite clear-sky potential farther inland. Trader consensus at 90.8% implied probability for the 68–69°F bin reflects these verified conditions and historical analogs. A rapid marine-layer erosion or anomalous offshore wind shift could have allowed brief warming toward 72°F, though no such signals appeared in recent observations or model runs.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 15, 2026, 4:03 PM ET
交易量
$25,251結束日期
2026-08-16市場開放時間
Aug 15, 2026, 4:03 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer stratus and moderate onshore flow from the cool California Current suppressed daytime heating across the San Francisco Bay Area on August 16, producing National Weather Service and model guidance centered on a maximum of 68–69°F at official stations. This climatological pattern, reinforced by a strong temperature inversion and sea breezes, kept readings near or slightly below the August average high of 70°F despite clear-sky potential farther inland. Trader consensus at 90.8% implied probability for the 68–69°F bin reflects these verified conditions and historical analogs. A rapid marine-layer erosion or anomalous offshore wind shift could have allowed brief warming toward 72°F, though no such signals appeared in recent observations or model runs.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$25,251結束日期
2026-08-16市場開放時間
Aug 15, 2026, 4:03 PM ETPersistent marine layer stratus and moderate onshore flow from the cool California Current suppressed daytime heating across the San Francisco Bay Area on August 16, producing National Weather Service and model guidance centered on a maximum of 68–69°F at official stations. This climatological pattern, reinforced by a strong temperature inversion and sea breezes, kept readings near or slightly below the August average high of 70°F despite clear-sky potential farther inland. Trader consensus at 90.8% implied probability for the 68–69°F bin reflects these verified conditions and historical analogs. A rapid marine-layer erosion or anomalous offshore wind shift could have allowed brief warming toward 72°F, though no such signals appeared in recent observations or model runs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions