Current forecast models from sources like the Met Office and extended outlooks position 31°C as the leading outcome for Shanghai's August 19 high, with 30–32°C capturing over 85% of market-implied odds. Summer climatology in eastern China features daytime maxima averaging near 32°C amid high humidity and weak steering flows, while recent model runs show morning clouds and isolated showers limiting stronger heating. No typhoon signals or major shifts appear in the near-term guidance, keeping probabilities clustered around these thresholds. Updated model ensembles and official observatory briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact peak as local conditions evolve.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月19日上海最高溫度？
8月19日上海最高溫度？
31°C 45%
30°C 24%
32°C 19%
29°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-19
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
6%
30°C
24%
31°C
45%
32°C
19%
33°C
6%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 45%
30°C 24%
32°C 19%
29°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-19
25°C or below
$191 交易量
<1%
26°C
$137 交易量
<1%
27°C
$29 交易量
1%
28°C
$130 交易量
2%
29°C
$143 交易量
6%
30°C
$573 交易量
24%
31°C
$442 交易量
45%
32°C
$96 交易量
19%
33°C
$37 交易量
6%
34°C
$249 交易量
2%
35°C or higher
$12 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like the Met Office and extended outlooks position 31°C as the leading outcome for Shanghai's August 19 high, with 30–32°C capturing over 85% of market-implied odds. Summer climatology in eastern China features daytime maxima averaging near 32°C amid high humidity and weak steering flows, while recent model runs show morning clouds and isolated showers limiting stronger heating. No typhoon signals or major shifts appear in the near-term guidance, keeping probabilities clustered around these thresholds. Updated model ensembles and official observatory briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact peak as local conditions evolve.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$2,039結束日期
2026-08-19市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like the Met Office and extended outlooks position 31°C as the leading outcome for Shanghai's August 19 high, with 30–32°C capturing over 85% of market-implied odds. Summer climatology in eastern China features daytime maxima averaging near 32°C amid high humidity and weak steering flows, while recent model runs show morning clouds and isolated showers limiting stronger heating. No typhoon signals or major shifts appear in the near-term guidance, keeping probabilities clustered around these thresholds. Updated model ensembles and official observatory briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact peak as local conditions evolve.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,039結束日期
2026-08-19市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETCurrent forecast models from sources like the Met Office and extended outlooks position 31°C as the leading outcome for Shanghai's August 19 high, with 30–32°C capturing over 85% of market-implied odds. Summer climatology in eastern China features daytime maxima averaging near 32°C amid high humidity and weak steering flows, while recent model runs show morning clouds and isolated showers limiting stronger heating. No typhoon signals or major shifts appear in the near-term guidance, keeping probabilities clustered around these thresholds. Updated model ensembles and official observatory briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact peak as local conditions evolve.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions