Forecast models from the UK Met Office and European agencies converge on a daytime maximum near 27°C across London on August 15, 2026, driven by mostly sunny intervals, light northerly winds, and post-heatwave moderation after peaks of 34–38°C the prior day. Northerly flow advects cooler maritime air, limiting further warming while clear skies support sufficient insolation to reach the mid-20s. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around this value, with minimal spread toward 28°C or higher due to the stabilizing wind pattern and absence of southerly advection. Traders have priced this consensus heavily, reflecting real-time model agreement and the rapid cooldown from the summer’s fifth heatwave. Updated Met Office briefings and late-morning observations will provide the final resolution data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月15日倫敦的最高溫度？
8月15日倫敦的最高溫度？
27°C 71%
26°C 13%
28°C 12%
25°C 6%
$92,762 交易量
$92,762 交易量
2026-08-15
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
6%
26°C
13%
27°C
71%
28°C
12%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
1%
27°C 71%
26°C 13%
28°C 12%
25°C 6%
$92,762 交易量
$92,762 交易量
2026-08-15
20°C or below
$3,481 交易量
<1%
21°C
$636 交易量
<1%
22°C
$1,461 交易量
<1%
23°C
$4,951 交易量
<1%
24°C
$8,655 交易量
<1%
25°C
$12,350 交易量
6%
26°C
$15,593 交易量
13%
27°C
$13,195 交易量
71%
28°C
$10,241 交易量
12%
29°C
$13,356 交易量
1%
30°C or higher
$12,121 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the UK Met Office and European agencies converge on a daytime maximum near 27°C across London on August 15, 2026, driven by mostly sunny intervals, light northerly winds, and post-heatwave moderation after peaks of 34–38°C the prior day. Northerly flow advects cooler maritime air, limiting further warming while clear skies support sufficient insolation to reach the mid-20s. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around this value, with minimal spread toward 28°C or higher due to the stabilizing wind pattern and absence of southerly advection. Traders have priced this consensus heavily, reflecting real-time model agreement and the rapid cooldown from the summer’s fifth heatwave. Updated Met Office briefings and late-morning observations will provide the final resolution data.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$92,762結束日期
2026-08-15市場開放時間
Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the UK Met Office and European agencies converge on a daytime maximum near 27°C across London on August 15, 2026, driven by mostly sunny intervals, light northerly winds, and post-heatwave moderation after peaks of 34–38°C the prior day. Northerly flow advects cooler maritime air, limiting further warming while clear skies support sufficient insolation to reach the mid-20s. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around this value, with minimal spread toward 28°C or higher due to the stabilizing wind pattern and absence of southerly advection. Traders have priced this consensus heavily, reflecting real-time model agreement and the rapid cooldown from the summer’s fifth heatwave. Updated Met Office briefings and late-morning observations will provide the final resolution data.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$92,762結束日期
2026-08-15市場開放時間
Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ETForecast models from the UK Met Office and European agencies converge on a daytime maximum near 27°C across London on August 15, 2026, driven by mostly sunny intervals, light northerly winds, and post-heatwave moderation after peaks of 34–38°C the prior day. Northerly flow advects cooler maritime air, limiting further warming while clear skies support sufficient insolation to reach the mid-20s. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around this value, with minimal spread toward 28°C or higher due to the stabilizing wind pattern and absence of southerly advection. Traders have priced this consensus heavily, reflecting real-time model agreement and the rapid cooldown from the summer’s fifth heatwave. Updated Met Office briefings and late-morning observations will provide the final resolution data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions