Trader consensus favors an 18°C or 19°C low in Paris on August 17 because ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Météo-France show only modest overnight cooling under variable cloud cover and light winds. These runs cluster near those thresholds, with slight differences in boundary-layer moisture and radiative cooling rates creating the narrow spread between outcomes. Historical August minimums near 16–18°C provide baseline context, yet current model agreement and limited synoptic forcing keep probabilities tightly matched until the final observational update.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月17日巴黎最低溫度?
18°C 41%
19°C 35%
20°C 13%
17°C 8%
$11,751 交易量
$11,751 交易量
16°C或以下
4%
17°C
8%
18°C
41%
19°C
35%
20°C
13%
21°C
2%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C或更高
<1%
18°C 41%
19°C 35%
20°C 13%
17°C 8%
$11,751 交易量
$11,751 交易量
16°C或以下
4%
17°C
8%
18°C
41%
19°C
35%
20°C
13%
21°C
2%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C或更高
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader consensus favors an 18°C or 19°C low in Paris on August 17 because ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Météo-France show only modest overnight cooling under variable cloud cover and light winds. These runs cluster near those thresholds, with slight differences in boundary-layer moisture and radiative cooling rates creating the narrow spread between outcomes. Historical August minimums near 16–18°C provide baseline context, yet current model agreement and limited synoptic forcing keep probabilities tightly matched until the final observational update.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions