Current forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and ECMWF indicate a shift to cooler conditions over Warsaw on August 17, with daytime maxima most likely near 22°C under overcast skies, light rain, and westerly flow that limits solar heating after recent warmer days. This aligns with the market’s leading 30% implied probability for 22°C and secondary support around 23°C, while probabilities for 24°C or higher remain low given the expected cloud cover and precipitation. Key variables include the exact timing and strength of any frontal passage, model spread in boundary-layer moisture, and local urban heat effects, all of which introduce modest uncertainty reflected in the spread across 20–23°C outcomes. Historical August averages near 23–24°C provide context, but the near-term pattern favors values at or below the seasonal norm.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月17日華沙的最高溫度？
8月17日華沙的最高溫度？
22°C 30%
23°C 20%
24°C 14%
20°C or below 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-17
20°C or below
12%
21°C
10%
22°C
30%
23°C
28%
24°C
14%
25°C
5%
26°C
3%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
1%
22°C 30%
23°C 20%
24°C 14%
20°C or below 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-17
20°C or below
$292 交易量
12%
21°C
$142 交易量
10%
22°C
$92 交易量
30%
23°C
$129 交易量
28%
24°C
$29 交易量
14%
25°C
$25 交易量
5%
26°C
$10 交易量
3%
27°C
$1 交易量
1%
28°C
$1 交易量
1%
29°C
$26 交易量
1%
30°C or higher
$11 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and ECMWF indicate a shift to cooler conditions over Warsaw on August 17, with daytime maxima most likely near 22°C under overcast skies, light rain, and westerly flow that limits solar heating after recent warmer days. This aligns with the market’s leading 30% implied probability for 22°C and secondary support around 23°C, while probabilities for 24°C or higher remain low given the expected cloud cover and precipitation. Key variables include the exact timing and strength of any frontal passage, model spread in boundary-layer moisture, and local urban heat effects, all of which introduce modest uncertainty reflected in the spread across 20–23°C outcomes. Historical August averages near 23–24°C provide context, but the near-term pattern favors values at or below the seasonal norm.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ET
交易量
$758結束日期
2026-08-17市場開放時間
Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and ECMWF indicate a shift to cooler conditions over Warsaw on August 17, with daytime maxima most likely near 22°C under overcast skies, light rain, and westerly flow that limits solar heating after recent warmer days. This aligns with the market’s leading 30% implied probability for 22°C and secondary support around 23°C, while probabilities for 24°C or higher remain low given the expected cloud cover and precipitation. Key variables include the exact timing and strength of any frontal passage, model spread in boundary-layer moisture, and local urban heat effects, all of which introduce modest uncertainty reflected in the spread across 20–23°C outcomes. Historical August averages near 23–24°C provide context, but the near-term pattern favors values at or below the seasonal norm.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$758結束日期
2026-08-17市場開放時間
Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ETCurrent forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and ECMWF indicate a shift to cooler conditions over Warsaw on August 17, with daytime maxima most likely near 22°C under overcast skies, light rain, and westerly flow that limits solar heating after recent warmer days. This aligns with the market’s leading 30% implied probability for 22°C and secondary support around 23°C, while probabilities for 24°C or higher remain low given the expected cloud cover and precipitation. Key variables include the exact timing and strength of any frontal passage, model spread in boundary-layer moisture, and local urban heat effects, all of which introduce modest uncertainty reflected in the spread across 20–23°C outcomes. Historical August averages near 23–24°C provide context, but the near-term pattern favors values at or below the seasonal norm.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions