Current forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a daytime maximum of 30°C in Warsaw on August 16 under sunny intervals and light winds, consistent with late-summer high-pressure patterns that allow temperatures to approach or reach seasonal peaks. These conditions position 29–30°C as the leading market outcomes, reflecting trader consensus on model agreement for peak readings near the upper end of typical August variability (historical averages around 23–26°C). Minor downward revisions in some extended outlooks introduce the modest probability for 29°C, while the slim chance of 31°C accounts for potential localized warming or measurement timing differences at official stations. Updated guidance on cloud cover and wind remains the key near-term variable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月16日華沙的最高溫度？
8月16日華沙的最高溫度？
30°C 51%
29°C 34%
31°C 11%
28°C 6%
$19,848 交易量
$19,848 交易量
2026-08-16
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
6%
29°C
34%
30°C
51%
31°C
11%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
<1%
30°C 51%
29°C 34%
31°C 11%
28°C 6%
$19,848 交易量
$19,848 交易量
2026-08-16
23°C or below
$267 交易量
<1%
24°C
$368 交易量
<1%
25°C
$626 交易量
<1%
26°C
$1,341 交易量
<1%
27°C
$1,451 交易量
2%
28°C
$2,235 交易量
6%
29°C
$2,182 交易量
34%
30°C
$3,473 交易量
51%
31°C
$3,165 交易量
11%
32°C
$3,163 交易量
2%
33°C or higher
$1,638 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a daytime maximum of 30°C in Warsaw on August 16 under sunny intervals and light winds, consistent with late-summer high-pressure patterns that allow temperatures to approach or reach seasonal peaks. These conditions position 29–30°C as the leading market outcomes, reflecting trader consensus on model agreement for peak readings near the upper end of typical August variability (historical averages around 23–26°C). Minor downward revisions in some extended outlooks introduce the modest probability for 29°C, while the slim chance of 31°C accounts for potential localized warming or measurement timing differences at official stations. Updated guidance on cloud cover and wind remains the key near-term variable.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$19,848結束日期
2026-08-16市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a daytime maximum of 30°C in Warsaw on August 16 under sunny intervals and light winds, consistent with late-summer high-pressure patterns that allow temperatures to approach or reach seasonal peaks. These conditions position 29–30°C as the leading market outcomes, reflecting trader consensus on model agreement for peak readings near the upper end of typical August variability (historical averages around 23–26°C). Minor downward revisions in some extended outlooks introduce the modest probability for 29°C, while the slim chance of 31°C accounts for potential localized warming or measurement timing differences at official stations. Updated guidance on cloud cover and wind remains the key near-term variable.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$19,848結束日期
2026-08-16市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETCurrent forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a daytime maximum of 30°C in Warsaw on August 16 under sunny intervals and light winds, consistent with late-summer high-pressure patterns that allow temperatures to approach or reach seasonal peaks. These conditions position 29–30°C as the leading market outcomes, reflecting trader consensus on model agreement for peak readings near the upper end of typical August variability (historical averages around 23–26°C). Minor downward revisions in some extended outlooks introduce the modest probability for 29°C, while the slim chance of 31°C accounts for potential localized warming or measurement timing differences at official stations. Updated guidance on cloud cover and wind remains the key near-term variable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions