Recent model consensus from Météo-France and European ensembles shows a post-heatwave cooldown arriving for the August 15–16 weekend, with daytime highs easing from midweek peaks near 34–38 °C to around 28–31 °C on the 16th under increasing cloud cover and possible scattered showers. This shift, driven by a weakening high-pressure ridge and northerly flow, supports overnight radiative cooling that favors a daily minimum near 17–19 °C—above the long-term August average of 15–16 °C yet below the elevated 21–23 °C readings seen during the preceding heatwave. Urban heat-island effects in central Paris and residual soil moisture from earlier humidity limit how far temperatures can fall, keeping sub-18 °C outcomes only marginally favored in trader pricing while rendering colder outliers improbable without a sharper frontal passage. Updated runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine cloud-cover and dew-point forecasts that directly control the final minimum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月16日巴黎最低溫度？
8月16日巴黎最低溫度？
18°C或以下 52%
19°C 32%
20°C 13%
22°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-16
18°C或以下
52%
19°C
32%
20°C
13%
21°C
8%
22°C
9%
23°C
5%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C或以上
<1%
18°C或以下 52%
19°C 32%
20°C 13%
22°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-16
18°C或以下
$200 交易量
52%
19°C
$10 交易量
32%
20°C
$31 交易量
13%
21°C
$507 交易量
8%
22°C
$36 交易量
9%
23°C
$53 交易量
5%
24°C
$15 交易量
1%
25°C
$10 交易量
1%
26°C
$10 交易量
1%
27°C
$10 交易量
<1%
28°C或以上
$10 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from Météo-France and European ensembles shows a post-heatwave cooldown arriving for the August 15–16 weekend, with daytime highs easing from midweek peaks near 34–38 °C to around 28–31 °C on the 16th under increasing cloud cover and possible scattered showers. This shift, driven by a weakening high-pressure ridge and northerly flow, supports overnight radiative cooling that favors a daily minimum near 17–19 °C—above the long-term August average of 15–16 °C yet below the elevated 21–23 °C readings seen during the preceding heatwave. Urban heat-island effects in central Paris and residual soil moisture from earlier humidity limit how far temperatures can fall, keeping sub-18 °C outcomes only marginally favored in trader pricing while rendering colder outliers improbable without a sharper frontal passage. Updated runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine cloud-cover and dew-point forecasts that directly control the final minimum.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 14, 2026, 1:28 AM ET
交易量
$893結束日期
2026-08-16市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 1:28 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from Météo-France and European ensembles shows a post-heatwave cooldown arriving for the August 15–16 weekend, with daytime highs easing from midweek peaks near 34–38 °C to around 28–31 °C on the 16th under increasing cloud cover and possible scattered showers. This shift, driven by a weakening high-pressure ridge and northerly flow, supports overnight radiative cooling that favors a daily minimum near 17–19 °C—above the long-term August average of 15–16 °C yet below the elevated 21–23 °C readings seen during the preceding heatwave. Urban heat-island effects in central Paris and residual soil moisture from earlier humidity limit how far temperatures can fall, keeping sub-18 °C outcomes only marginally favored in trader pricing while rendering colder outliers improbable without a sharper frontal passage. Updated runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine cloud-cover and dew-point forecasts that directly control the final minimum.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$893結束日期
2026-08-16市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 1:28 AM ETRecent model consensus from Météo-France and European ensembles shows a post-heatwave cooldown arriving for the August 15–16 weekend, with daytime highs easing from midweek peaks near 34–38 °C to around 28–31 °C on the 16th under increasing cloud cover and possible scattered showers. This shift, driven by a weakening high-pressure ridge and northerly flow, supports overnight radiative cooling that favors a daily minimum near 17–19 °C—above the long-term August average of 15–16 °C yet below the elevated 21–23 °C readings seen during the preceding heatwave. Urban heat-island effects in central Paris and residual soil moisture from earlier humidity limit how far temperatures can fall, keeping sub-18 °C outcomes only marginally favored in trader pricing while rendering colder outliers improbable without a sharper frontal passage. Updated runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine cloud-cover and dew-point forecasts that directly control the final minimum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions