Trader consensus heavily favors a 26°C high in Istanbul on August 16, driven by the latest official forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF model runs projecting a maximum near that threshold under overcast skies and moderate northeasterly winds of 15–20 mph. These conditions, typical of late-summer Mediterranean patterns, incorporate cooling sea breezes from the Black Sea and Bosphorus that limit daytime heating below seasonal averages of 27–29°C. Recent observational data confirm persistent cloud cover suppressing solar radiation. A shift to clearer skies or weaker winds could push readings to 27–28°C, while any unexpected model divergence in afternoon heating remains the main variable before final resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月16日伊斯坦布爾的最高溫度？
8月16日伊斯坦布爾的最高溫度？
26°C 98%
27°C 2%
28°C <1%
22°C or below <1%
$30,690 交易量
$30,690 交易量
2026-08-16
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
98%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 98%
27°C 2%
28°C <1%
22°C or below <1%
$30,690 交易量
$30,690 交易量
2026-08-16
22°C or below
$744 交易量
<1%
23°C
$1,052 交易量
<1%
24°C
$3,321 交易量
<1%
25°C
$7,234 交易量
<1%
26°C
$7,801 交易量
98%
27°C
$6,124 交易量
2%
28°C
$1,782 交易量
1%
29°C
$694 交易量
<1%
30°C
$836 交易量
<1%
31°C
$899 交易量
<1%
32°C or higher
$202 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus heavily favors a 26°C high in Istanbul on August 16, driven by the latest official forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF model runs projecting a maximum near that threshold under overcast skies and moderate northeasterly winds of 15–20 mph. These conditions, typical of late-summer Mediterranean patterns, incorporate cooling sea breezes from the Black Sea and Bosphorus that limit daytime heating below seasonal averages of 27–29°C. Recent observational data confirm persistent cloud cover suppressing solar radiation. A shift to clearer skies or weaker winds could push readings to 27–28°C, while any unexpected model divergence in afternoon heating remains the main variable before final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$30,690結束日期
2026-08-16市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus heavily favors a 26°C high in Istanbul on August 16, driven by the latest official forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF model runs projecting a maximum near that threshold under overcast skies and moderate northeasterly winds of 15–20 mph. These conditions, typical of late-summer Mediterranean patterns, incorporate cooling sea breezes from the Black Sea and Bosphorus that limit daytime heating below seasonal averages of 27–29°C. Recent observational data confirm persistent cloud cover suppressing solar radiation. A shift to clearer skies or weaker winds could push readings to 27–28°C, while any unexpected model divergence in afternoon heating remains the main variable before final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$30,690結束日期
2026-08-16市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors a 26°C high in Istanbul on August 16, driven by the latest official forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF model runs projecting a maximum near that threshold under overcast skies and moderate northeasterly winds of 15–20 mph. These conditions, typical of late-summer Mediterranean patterns, incorporate cooling sea breezes from the Black Sea and Bosphorus that limit daytime heating below seasonal averages of 27–29°C. Recent observational data confirm persistent cloud cover suppressing solar radiation. A shift to clearer skies or weaker winds could push readings to 27–28°C, while any unexpected model divergence in afternoon heating remains the main variable before final resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions