Hong Kong's official minimum temperature on August 14, 2026, reached exactly 26°C at the Hong Kong Observatory, aligning with the dominant market-implied outcome at 100% probability. This reflects typical mid-August nocturnal conditions in the subtropical climate, where urban heat island effects and high humidity sustain overnight lows near 26–28°C amid persistent warm advection from the south. Recent heatwave patterns, including record daytime maxima above 36°C earlier in the month, further supported elevated baseline temperatures without significant cooling from frontal systems or rainfall. While forecast model consensus from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional data reinforced this range, minor variations in station siting or microclimatic effects could theoretically shift readings by 1°C, though official verification criteria make such adjustments improbable for market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月14日香港最低溫度？
8月14日香港最低溫度？
26°C 100.0%
22°C或以下 <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$74,584 交易量
$74,584 交易量
2026-08-14
22°C或以下
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
是
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C或以上
否
26°C 100.0%
22°C或以下 <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$74,584 交易量
$74,584 交易量
2026-08-14
22°C或以下
$2,697 交易量
否
23°C
$4,022 交易量
否
24°C
$6,030 交易量
否
25°C
$10,309 交易量
否
26°C
$12,476 交易量
是
27°C
$17,941 交易量
否
28°C
$6,732 交易量
否
29°C
$8,527 交易量
否
30°C
$4,174 交易量
否
31°C
$567 交易量
否
32°C或以上
$1,108 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong's official minimum temperature on August 14, 2026, reached exactly 26°C at the Hong Kong Observatory, aligning with the dominant market-implied outcome at 100% probability. This reflects typical mid-August nocturnal conditions in the subtropical climate, where urban heat island effects and high humidity sustain overnight lows near 26–28°C amid persistent warm advection from the south. Recent heatwave patterns, including record daytime maxima above 36°C earlier in the month, further supported elevated baseline temperatures without significant cooling from frontal systems or rainfall. While forecast model consensus from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional data reinforced this range, minor variations in station siting or microclimatic effects could theoretically shift readings by 1°C, though official verification criteria make such adjustments improbable for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$74,584結束日期
2026-08-14市場開放時間
Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong's official minimum temperature on August 14, 2026, reached exactly 26°C at the Hong Kong Observatory, aligning with the dominant market-implied outcome at 100% probability. This reflects typical mid-August nocturnal conditions in the subtropical climate, where urban heat island effects and high humidity sustain overnight lows near 26–28°C amid persistent warm advection from the south. Recent heatwave patterns, including record daytime maxima above 36°C earlier in the month, further supported elevated baseline temperatures without significant cooling from frontal systems or rainfall. While forecast model consensus from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional data reinforced this range, minor variations in station siting or microclimatic effects could theoretically shift readings by 1°C, though official verification criteria make such adjustments improbable for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$74,584結束日期
2026-08-14市場開放時間
Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Hong Kong's official minimum temperature on August 14, 2026, reached exactly 26°C at the Hong Kong Observatory, aligning with the dominant market-implied outcome at 100% probability. This reflects typical mid-August nocturnal conditions in the subtropical climate, where urban heat island effects and high humidity sustain overnight lows near 26–28°C amid persistent warm advection from the south. Recent heatwave patterns, including record daytime maxima above 36°C earlier in the month, further supported elevated baseline temperatures without significant cooling from frontal systems or rainfall. While forecast model consensus from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional data reinforced this range, minor variations in station siting or microclimatic effects could theoretically shift readings by 1°C, though official verification criteria make such adjustments improbable for market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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