Chongqing's late-August subtropical conditions, marked by high humidity above 70% and surrounding mountainous terrain that traps heat, drive the tight clustering of trader probabilities around 33–35°C for the August 21 daily maximum. Official forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and local meteorological services currently project a high near 34°C under mostly cloudy skies with possible scattered showers, which would moderate peak heating through reduced solar insolation. Minor differences among leading outcomes hinge on variables such as afternoon cloud thickness, wind speed from shifting monsoon flows, and urban heat-island effects in the city center, all of which can shift realized temperatures by 1–2°C. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours from agencies tracking the region will likely refine these distinctions ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月21日重慶氣溫最高？
8月21日重慶氣溫最高？
33°C 35%
34°C 29%
35°C 26%
32°C 18%
最新
最新
2026-08-21
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
5%
31°C
7%
32°C
18%
33°C
35%
34°C
29%
35°C
26%
36°C
2%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 35%
34°C 29%
35°C 26%
32°C 18%
最新
最新
2026-08-21
28°C or below
$22 交易量
<1%
29°C
$130 交易量
3%
30°C
$0 交易量
5%
31°C
$0 交易量
7%
32°C
$16 交易量
18%
33°C
$0 交易量
35%
34°C
$0 交易量
29%
35°C
$11 交易量
26%
36°C
$55 交易量
2%
37°C
$17 交易量
<1%
38°C or higher
$19 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Chongqing's late-August subtropical conditions, marked by high humidity above 70% and surrounding mountainous terrain that traps heat, drive the tight clustering of trader probabilities around 33–35°C for the August 21 daily maximum. Official forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and local meteorological services currently project a high near 34°C under mostly cloudy skies with possible scattered showers, which would moderate peak heating through reduced solar insolation. Minor differences among leading outcomes hinge on variables such as afternoon cloud thickness, wind speed from shifting monsoon flows, and urban heat-island effects in the city center, all of which can shift realized temperatures by 1–2°C. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours from agencies tracking the region will likely refine these distinctions ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$269結束日期
2026-08-21市場開放時間
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Chongqing's late-August subtropical conditions, marked by high humidity above 70% and surrounding mountainous terrain that traps heat, drive the tight clustering of trader probabilities around 33–35°C for the August 21 daily maximum. Official forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and local meteorological services currently project a high near 34°C under mostly cloudy skies with possible scattered showers, which would moderate peak heating through reduced solar insolation. Minor differences among leading outcomes hinge on variables such as afternoon cloud thickness, wind speed from shifting monsoon flows, and urban heat-island effects in the city center, all of which can shift realized temperatures by 1–2°C. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours from agencies tracking the region will likely refine these distinctions ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$269結束日期
2026-08-21市場開放時間
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETChongqing's late-August subtropical conditions, marked by high humidity above 70% and surrounding mountainous terrain that traps heat, drive the tight clustering of trader probabilities around 33–35°C for the August 21 daily maximum. Official forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and local meteorological services currently project a high near 34°C under mostly cloudy skies with possible scattered showers, which would moderate peak heating through reduced solar insolation. Minor differences among leading outcomes hinge on variables such as afternoon cloud thickness, wind speed from shifting monsoon flows, and urban heat-island effects in the city center, all of which can shift realized temperatures by 1–2°C. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours from agencies tracking the region will likely refine these distinctions ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions