Forecast models from ECMWF, GFS, and national agencies indicate a highest temperature in Milan on August 21 most likely between 23–25 °C, with ensembles showing a narrow spread around 24 °C amid thundery showers and increased cloud cover that limit daytime heating. This aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 23 °C and 24 °C, reflecting recent model runs that have trended slightly cooler than seasonal averages of 26–28 °C. Key variables include steering patterns and moisture from Atlantic or Mediterranean flows, which could either suppress or briefly enhance peaks depending on timing of convection. Updated high-resolution guidance over the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月21日米蘭的最高溫度？
8月21日米蘭的最高溫度？
23°C 37%
24°C 31%
22°C 14%
25°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-21
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
4%
22°C
14%
23°C
37%
24°C
31%
25°C
11%
26°C or higher
4%
23°C 37%
24°C 31%
22°C 14%
25°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-21
16°C or below
$504 交易量
<1%
17°C
$504 交易量
<1%
18°C
$544 交易量
1%
19°C
$13 交易量
1%
20°C
$34 交易量
1%
21°C
$0 交易量
4%
22°C
$0 交易量
14%
23°C
$1 交易量
37%
24°C
$30 交易量
31%
25°C
$0 交易量
11%
26°C or higher
$70 交易量
4%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from ECMWF, GFS, and national agencies indicate a highest temperature in Milan on August 21 most likely between 23–25 °C, with ensembles showing a narrow spread around 24 °C amid thundery showers and increased cloud cover that limit daytime heating. This aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 23 °C and 24 °C, reflecting recent model runs that have trended slightly cooler than seasonal averages of 26–28 °C. Key variables include steering patterns and moisture from Atlantic or Mediterranean flows, which could either suppress or briefly enhance peaks depending on timing of convection. Updated high-resolution guidance over the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$1,701結束日期
2026-08-21市場開放時間
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from ECMWF, GFS, and national agencies indicate a highest temperature in Milan on August 21 most likely between 23–25 °C, with ensembles showing a narrow spread around 24 °C amid thundery showers and increased cloud cover that limit daytime heating. This aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 23 °C and 24 °C, reflecting recent model runs that have trended slightly cooler than seasonal averages of 26–28 °C. Key variables include steering patterns and moisture from Atlantic or Mediterranean flows, which could either suppress or briefly enhance peaks depending on timing of convection. Updated high-resolution guidance over the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,701結束日期
2026-08-21市場開放時間
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETForecast models from ECMWF, GFS, and national agencies indicate a highest temperature in Milan on August 21 most likely between 23–25 °C, with ensembles showing a narrow spread around 24 °C amid thundery showers and increased cloud cover that limit daytime heating. This aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 23 °C and 24 °C, reflecting recent model runs that have trended slightly cooler than seasonal averages of 26–28 °C. Key variables include steering patterns and moisture from Atlantic or Mediterranean flows, which could either suppress or briefly enhance peaks depending on timing of convection. Updated high-resolution guidance over the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions