Forecast models from European and global ensembles indicate moderate uncertainty for Helsinki's maximum temperature on August 21, with trader-implied probabilities centered on 19–20°C reflecting a mix of stable high-pressure influence and variable Baltic moisture advection. Key variables include the strength and position of Scandinavian ridging, which favors daytime heating under clearer skies, versus potential onshore flow or increased cloud cover that could cap highs near 17–18°C. Diurnal temperature range and surface wind speeds will determine whether peak readings reach 21–22°C or remain suppressed. Historical August baselines around 18–20°C provide context, yet ensemble spread highlights resolution sensitivity to small shifts in the 48-hour forecast window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於赫爾辛基8月21日的最高溫度?
19°C 35%
20°C 23%
21°C 17%
18°C 11%
14°C或以下
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
5%
18°C
11%
19°C
35%
20°C
23%
21°C
17%
22°C
3%
23°C
<1%
24°C或更高
<1%
19°C 35%
20°C 23%
21°C 17%
18°C 11%
14°C或以下
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
5%
18°C
11%
19°C
35%
20°C
23%
21°C
17%
22°C
3%
23°C
<1%
24°C或更高
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from European and global ensembles indicate moderate uncertainty for Helsinki's maximum temperature on August 21, with trader-implied probabilities centered on 19–20°C reflecting a mix of stable high-pressure influence and variable Baltic moisture advection. Key variables include the strength and position of Scandinavian ridging, which favors daytime heating under clearer skies, versus potential onshore flow or increased cloud cover that could cap highs near 17–18°C. Diurnal temperature range and surface wind speeds will determine whether peak readings reach 21–22°C or remain suppressed. Historical August baselines around 18–20°C provide context, yet ensemble spread highlights resolution sensitivity to small shifts in the 48-hour forecast window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions