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icon for 8月21日香港最低溫度？

8月21日香港最低溫度？

icon for 8月21日香港最低溫度？

8月21日香港最低溫度？

Ended: 8月 21

8月 28

8月 29

8月 30

8月 31

Ended: 8月 21

8月 28

8月 29

8月 30

8月 31

25°C 100.0%

22°C或以下 <1%

23°C <1%

24°C <1%

Polymarket

$52,008 交易量

25°C 100.0%

22°C或以下 <1%

23°C <1%

24°C <1%

Polymarket

$52,008 交易量

22°C或以下

$1,937 交易量

否

23°C

$3,851 交易量

否

24°C

$8,115 交易量

否

25°C

$11,101 交易量

是

26°C

$6,170 交易量

否

27°C

$6,111 交易量

否

28°C

$6,188 交易量

否

29°C

$2,853 交易量

否

30°C

$2,170 交易量

否

31°C

$1,977 交易量

否

32°C或以上

$1,536 交易量

否

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders have converged on 25°C as the lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 21, reflecting official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirming this minimum under typical late-summer subtropical conditions. High-pressure dominance and urban heat retention prevented cooler overnight readings, consistent with historical August baselines where lows cluster near 25–27°C. Pre-event forecast models from regional agencies showed tight agreement around this threshold, with limited scope for measurement variance at primary stations. Final verified data releases leave little room for revision, though discrepancies in auxiliary station readings or microclimate effects could theoretically prompt minor adjustments before formal closure.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$52,008
結束日期
2026-08-21
市場開放時間
Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

已提議結果: 否

無爭議

最終結果: 否

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders have converged on 25°C as the lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 21, reflecting official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirming this minimum under typical late-summer subtropical conditions. High-pressure dominance and urban heat retention prevented cooler overnight readings, consistent with historical August baselines where lows cluster near 25–27°C. Pre-event forecast models from regional agencies showed tight agreement around this threshold, with limited scope for measurement variance at primary stations. Final verified data releases leave little room for revision, though discrepancies in auxiliary station readings or microclimate effects could theoretically prompt minor adjustments before formal closure.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$52,008
結束日期
2026-08-21
市場開放時間
Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

已提議結果: 否

無爭議

最終結果: 否

相關

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Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 30?

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Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 31?

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警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"8月21日香港最低溫度？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "25°C" at 100%, followed by "22°C或以下" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "8月21日香港最低溫度？" has generated $52K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 19, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "8月21日香港最低溫度？," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "8月21日香港最低溫度？" is "25°C" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "22°C或以下" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "8月21日香港最低溫度？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.