**The market's overwhelming 99.9% implied probability for a 32°C daily maximum on August 28, 2026, reflects the final official recording from the Hong Kong Observatory (HKO), the authoritative source for such resolution criteria.** Persistent monsoon trough and low-pressure influences brought widespread showers and thunderstorms that day, limiting solar heating and keeping the temperature profile suppressed relative to clearer periods earlier in the month. Regional observations and model analyses aligned closely with the HKO's measured peak of 32°C at the primary station, with no credible alternative readings or revisions emerging to alter the outcome. This skin-in-the-game consensus among traders underscores the reliability of post-event verification once all hourly data and quality-controlled observations are finalized. The only realistic scenarios that could have challenged the positioning would involve an unexpected data revision from HKO or a discrepant measurement at a secondary station meeting specific market thresholds—both highly improbable given the stability of the record and the narrow 0.1% odds assigned to all other outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月28日香港最高溫度？
8月28日香港最高溫度？
32°C 99.8%
33°C <1%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
$173,962 交易量
$173,962 交易量
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
32°C 99.8%
33°C <1%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
$173,962 交易量
$173,962 交易量
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
**The market's overwhelming 99.9% implied probability for a 32°C daily maximum on August 28, 2026, reflects the final official recording from the Hong Kong Observatory (HKO), the authoritative source for such resolution criteria.** Persistent monsoon trough and low-pressure influences brought widespread showers and thunderstorms that day, limiting solar heating and keeping the temperature profile suppressed relative to clearer periods earlier in the month. Regional observations and model analyses aligned closely with the HKO's measured peak of 32°C at the primary station, with no credible alternative readings or revisions emerging to alter the outcome. This skin-in-the-game consensus among traders underscores the reliability of post-event verification once all hourly data and quality-controlled observations are finalized. The only realistic scenarios that could have challenged the positioning would involve an unexpected data revision from HKO or a discrepant measurement at a secondary station meeting specific market thresholds—both highly improbable given the stability of the record and the narrow 0.1% odds assigned to all other outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions