**Forecast consensus from multiple models positions 19–20°C as the most probable range for Helsinki’s daily maximum temperature on August 29, 2026.** Official guidance from the Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) and cross-checked sources such as Yr.no, Met Office, and Worldmeteo consistently indicate a high near 19–20°C under mostly cloudy conditions with southeast winds of 5–10 m/s. This aligns closely with the market’s leading implied probabilities (20°C at 56.5%, 19°C at 22.5%). Late-August climatology at 60°N features declining solar insolation and average daily maxima around 18–20°C, providing a stable baseline. Current synoptic setup features a high-pressure influence over Finland with a developing low farther west, resulting in mild, stable flow without strong advection of warmer or cooler air masses. Model agreement is high, with limited spread in predicted maxima and only modest chances of light precipitation that would not substantially alter peak daytime readings. Recent forecast updates through August 28 have shown little change, reinforcing trader confidence in the narrow 19–20°C window while leaving modest room for a 21°C outlier if daytime heating exceeds expectations or a 18°C outcome under heavier cloud cover.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於赫爾辛基8月29日的最高溫度?
20°C 55%
19°C 24%
21°C 17%
18°C 4%
14°C或以下
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
4%
19°C
24%
20°C
55%
21°C
17%
22°C
4%
23°C
2%
24°C或以上
1%
20°C 55%
19°C 24%
21°C 17%
18°C 4%
14°C或以下
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
4%
19°C
24%
20°C
55%
21°C
17%
22°C
4%
23°C
2%
24°C或以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Forecast consensus from multiple models positions 19–20°C as the most probable range for Helsinki’s daily maximum temperature on August 29, 2026.** Official guidance from the Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) and cross-checked sources such as Yr.no, Met Office, and Worldmeteo consistently indicate a high near 19–20°C under mostly cloudy conditions with southeast winds of 5–10 m/s. This aligns closely with the market’s leading implied probabilities (20°C at 56.5%, 19°C at 22.5%). Late-August climatology at 60°N features declining solar insolation and average daily maxima around 18–20°C, providing a stable baseline. Current synoptic setup features a high-pressure influence over Finland with a developing low farther west, resulting in mild, stable flow without strong advection of warmer or cooler air masses. Model agreement is high, with limited spread in predicted maxima and only modest chances of light precipitation that would not substantially alter peak daytime readings. Recent forecast updates through August 28 have shown little change, reinforcing trader confidence in the narrow 19–20°C window while leaving modest room for a 21°C outlier if daytime heating exceeds expectations or a 18°C outcome under heavier cloud cover.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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Frequently Asked Questions