**Mild late-summer conditions and stable atmospheric patterns are positioning 15°C as the clear market leader for Helsinki’s minimum temperature on August 29.** Current forecasts from multiple sources show overnight lows holding near 15–16°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies, with light-to-moderate southeasterly flow and dew points in the 13–14°C range limiting radiative cooling. This aligns with the day’s observed temperatures, which peaked around 19–20°C before gradually falling through the evening. Historical climatology places the long-term average low near 12°C, but the current airmass is several degrees warmer than normal, consistent with recent days’ readings that have rarely dipped below 14–15°C. Forecasters see little risk of stronger cooling tonight absent a sharp wind shift or clearing skies that would enhance heat loss. The 87.5% implied probability for 15°C reflects trader consensus on these stable conditions and the narrow range of likely outcomes; lower values would require an unexpected cold surge that current model guidance does not support.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月29日赫爾辛基最低溫度？
8月29日赫爾辛基最低溫度？
14°C 3%
13°C <1%
12°C <1%
10°C or below <1%
$1,370 交易量
$1,370 交易量
2026-08-29
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
3%
15°C
68%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
14°C 3%
13°C <1%
12°C <1%
10°C or below <1%
$1,370 交易量
$1,370 交易量
2026-08-29
10°C or below
$142 交易量
<1%
11°C
$133 交易量
<1%
12°C
$128 交易量
<1%
13°C
$109 交易量
<1%
14°C
$92 交易量
3%
15°C
$461 交易量
68%
16°C
$20 交易量
<1%
17°C
$165 交易量
<1%
18°C
$30 交易量
<1%
19°C
$50 交易量
<1%
20°C or higher
$40 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Mild late-summer conditions and stable atmospheric patterns are positioning 15°C as the clear market leader for Helsinki’s minimum temperature on August 29.**
Current forecasts from multiple sources show overnight lows holding near 15–16°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies, with light-to-moderate southeasterly flow and dew points in the 13–14°C range limiting radiative cooling. This aligns with the day’s observed temperatures, which peaked around 19–20°C before gradually falling through the evening.
Historical climatology places the long-term average low near 12°C, but the current airmass is several degrees warmer than normal, consistent with recent days’ readings that have rarely dipped below 14–15°C. Forecasters see little risk of stronger cooling tonight absent a sharp wind shift or clearing skies that would enhance heat loss.
The 87.5% implied probability for 15°C reflects trader consensus on these stable conditions and the narrow range of likely outcomes; lower values would require an unexpected cold surge that current model guidance does not support.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$1,370結束日期
2026-08-29市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Mild late-summer conditions and stable atmospheric patterns are positioning 15°C as the clear market leader for Helsinki’s minimum temperature on August 29.**
Current forecasts from multiple sources show overnight lows holding near 15–16°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies, with light-to-moderate southeasterly flow and dew points in the 13–14°C range limiting radiative cooling. This aligns with the day’s observed temperatures, which peaked around 19–20°C before gradually falling through the evening.
Historical climatology places the long-term average low near 12°C, but the current airmass is several degrees warmer than normal, consistent with recent days’ readings that have rarely dipped below 14–15°C. Forecasters see little risk of stronger cooling tonight absent a sharp wind shift or clearing skies that would enhance heat loss.
The 87.5% implied probability for 15°C reflects trader consensus on these stable conditions and the narrow range of likely outcomes; lower values would require an unexpected cold surge that current model guidance does not support.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,370結束日期
2026-08-29市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET**Mild late-summer conditions and stable atmospheric patterns are positioning 15°C as the clear market leader for Helsinki’s minimum temperature on August 29.** Current forecasts from multiple sources show overnight lows holding near 15–16°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies, with light-to-moderate southeasterly flow and dew points in the 13–14°C range limiting radiative cooling. This aligns with the day’s observed temperatures, which peaked around 19–20°C before gradually falling through the evening. Historical climatology places the long-term average low near 12°C, but the current airmass is several degrees warmer than normal, consistent with recent days’ readings that have rarely dipped below 14–15°C. Forecasters see little risk of stronger cooling tonight absent a sharp wind shift or clearing skies that would enhance heat loss. The 87.5% implied probability for 15°C reflects trader consensus on these stable conditions and the narrow range of likely outcomes; lower values would require an unexpected cold surge that current model guidance does not support.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions