Current forecast models from agencies including the Finnish Meteorological Institute and European ensembles indicate overnight lows in Helsinki around 14–16°C on August 31 amid persistent cloudy skies, light winds, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. This setup favors a daily minimum near or slightly above the 11.8°C historical average, yet model spread and the potential for clearer intervals or heavier rainfall introduce realistic downside risk to the low teens or below. Trader consensus reflected in the elevated 45.5% implied probability for 11°C or below aligns with caution around these near-term variables ahead of final observational data on September 1.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月31日赫爾辛基最低溫度?
11°C or below 92%
14°C 50%
13°C 49%
17°C 49%
11°C or below
92%
12°C
25%
13°C
49%
14°C
27%
15°C
27%
16°C
23%
17°C
49%
18°C
2%
19°C
8%
20°C
6%
21°C or higher
39%
11°C or below 92%
14°C 50%
13°C 49%
17°C 49%
11°C or below
92%
12°C
25%
13°C
49%
14°C
27%
15°C
27%
16°C
23%
17°C
49%
18°C
2%
19°C
8%
20°C
6%
21°C or higher
39%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast models from agencies including the Finnish Meteorological Institute and European ensembles indicate overnight lows in Helsinki around 14–16°C on August 31 amid persistent cloudy skies, light winds, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. This setup favors a daily minimum near or slightly above the 11.8°C historical average, yet model spread and the potential for clearer intervals or heavier rainfall introduce realistic downside risk to the low teens or below. Trader consensus reflected in the elevated 45.5% implied probability for 11°C or below aligns with caution around these near-term variables ahead of final observational data on September 1.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions