**Trader consensus at 100% for a 24°C high on August 31, 2026, reflects official meteorological observations confirming that maximum temperature.** Late-summer atmospheric conditions over the Valley of Mexico, including persistent cloud cover, afternoon thunderstorms, and moderate easterly flow, suppressed surface heating and kept daytime peaks aligned with climatological norms near 24°C. Forecast models from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional consistently projected maxima of 24–26°C, with observed data falling at the lower end of that range due to precipitation and reduced insolation. This outcome aligns with historical August patterns, where highs typically range 23–26°C under similar synoptic setups. Resolution criteria depend on the designated official station or averaged network reading; minor variations across urban stations or post-processing adjustments represent the primary, albeit low-probability, pathways for deviation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於墨西哥城8月31日的最高溫度？
墨西哥城8月31日的最高溫度？
24°C 100.0%
16°C或以下 <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$22,993 交易量
$22,993 交易量
2026-08-31
16°C或以下
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
100%
25°C
<1%
26°C或以上
<1%
24°C 100.0%
16°C或以下 <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$22,993 交易量
$22,993 交易量
2026-08-31
16°C或以下
$1,118 交易量
<1%
17°C
$168 交易量
<1%
18°C
$421 交易量
<1%
19°C
$110 交易量
<1%
20°C
$370 交易量
<1%
21°C
$394 交易量
<1%
22°C
$1,003 交易量
<1%
23°C
$3,728 交易量
<1%
24°C
$6,395 交易量
100%
25°C
$4,210 交易量
<1%
26°C或以上
$5,075 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% for a 24°C high on August 31, 2026, reflects official meteorological observations confirming that maximum temperature.** Late-summer atmospheric conditions over the Valley of Mexico, including persistent cloud cover, afternoon thunderstorms, and moderate easterly flow, suppressed surface heating and kept daytime peaks aligned with climatological norms near 24°C. Forecast models from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional consistently projected maxima of 24–26°C, with observed data falling at the lower end of that range due to precipitation and reduced insolation. This outcome aligns with historical August patterns, where highs typically range 23–26°C under similar synoptic setups. Resolution criteria depend on the designated official station or averaged network reading; minor variations across urban stations or post-processing adjustments represent the primary, albeit low-probability, pathways for deviation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 29, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
交易量
$22,993結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 8:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% for a 24°C high on August 31, 2026, reflects official meteorological observations confirming that maximum temperature.** Late-summer atmospheric conditions over the Valley of Mexico, including persistent cloud cover, afternoon thunderstorms, and moderate easterly flow, suppressed surface heating and kept daytime peaks aligned with climatological norms near 24°C. Forecast models from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional consistently projected maxima of 24–26°C, with observed data falling at the lower end of that range due to precipitation and reduced insolation. This outcome aligns with historical August patterns, where highs typically range 23–26°C under similar synoptic setups. Resolution criteria depend on the designated official station or averaged network reading; minor variations across urban stations or post-processing adjustments represent the primary, albeit low-probability, pathways for deviation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$22,993結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 8:56 AM ET**Trader consensus at 100% for a 24°C high on August 31, 2026, reflects official meteorological observations confirming that maximum temperature.** Late-summer atmospheric conditions over the Valley of Mexico, including persistent cloud cover, afternoon thunderstorms, and moderate easterly flow, suppressed surface heating and kept daytime peaks aligned with climatological norms near 24°C. Forecast models from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional consistently projected maxima of 24–26°C, with observed data falling at the lower end of that range due to precipitation and reduced insolation. This outcome aligns with historical August patterns, where highs typically range 23–26°C under similar synoptic setups. Resolution criteria depend on the designated official station or averaged network reading; minor variations across urban stations or post-processing adjustments represent the primary, albeit low-probability, pathways for deviation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions