Recent forecasts for Milan indicate stable high-pressure conditions with mostly sunny skies and light winds through early September, supporting daytime maxima near the seasonal average of 26–30°C. Official guidance from sources like the Met Office and WeatherBug points to a Tuesday high around 31°C under partly cloudy skies, though minor variations in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or weak easterly flow could trim or boost the peak by 1–2°C. With no strong frontal passages or significant moisture advection expected in the next 48 hours, trader consensus reflects genuine forecast spread rather than a single dominant outcome, keeping probabilities evenly distributed across the central range while discounting extremes below 25°C or above 30°C. Updated model runs ahead of September 1 will be the next key data point.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月1日米蘭的最高溫度?
29°C 33%
30°C 32%
28°C 20%
27°C 19%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
4%
27°C
19%
28°C
20%
29°C
33%
30°C
32%
31°C
7%
32°C
7%
33°C
6%
34°C or higher
6%
29°C 33%
30°C 32%
28°C 20%
27°C 19%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
4%
27°C
19%
28°C
20%
29°C
33%
30°C
32%
31°C
7%
32°C
7%
33°C
6%
34°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts for Milan indicate stable high-pressure conditions with mostly sunny skies and light winds through early September, supporting daytime maxima near the seasonal average of 26–30°C. Official guidance from sources like the Met Office and WeatherBug points to a Tuesday high around 31°C under partly cloudy skies, though minor variations in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or weak easterly flow could trim or boost the peak by 1–2°C. With no strong frontal passages or significant moisture advection expected in the next 48 hours, trader consensus reflects genuine forecast spread rather than a single dominant outcome, keeping probabilities evenly distributed across the central range while discounting extremes below 25°C or above 30°C. Updated model runs ahead of September 1 will be the next key data point.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions