Current short-term ensemble forecasts from agencies such as the DWD and ECMWF place Munich’s September 1 maximum near the 1991–2020 climatological average of 22.2 °C, with model runs converging on 21–23 °C under partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow. This narrow band, combined with modest day-to-day variability from subtle pressure gradients and limited diurnal heating, underpins the evenly distributed market-implied probabilities across 21–25 °C. Key differentiating factors include the precise timing of any weak frontal passage, boundary-layer moisture affecting cloud cover, and local orographic influences from the nearby Alps that can modulate temperatures by 1–2 °C through Foehn or downslope effects. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will narrow the range further as the event approaches resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月1日慕尼黑的最高溫度？
9月1日慕尼黑的最高溫度？
24°C 50%
23°C 32%
25°C 29%
22°C 19%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
18°C or below
4%
19°C
2%
20°C
4%
21°C
18%
22°C
19%
23°C
26%
24°C
44%
25°C
29%
26°C
7%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
24°C 50%
23°C 32%
25°C 29%
22°C 19%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
18°C or below
$0 交易量
4%
19°C
$0 交易量
2%
20°C
$0 交易量
4%
21°C
$0 交易量
18%
22°C
$0 交易量
19%
23°C
$57 交易量
26%
24°C
$41 交易量
44%
25°C
$47 交易量
29%
26°C
$0 交易量
7%
27°C
$0 交易量
<1%
28°C or higher
$0 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-term ensemble forecasts from agencies such as the DWD and ECMWF place Munich’s September 1 maximum near the 1991–2020 climatological average of 22.2 °C, with model runs converging on 21–23 °C under partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow. This narrow band, combined with modest day-to-day variability from subtle pressure gradients and limited diurnal heating, underpins the evenly distributed market-implied probabilities across 21–25 °C. Key differentiating factors include the precise timing of any weak frontal passage, boundary-layer moisture affecting cloud cover, and local orographic influences from the nearby Alps that can modulate temperatures by 1–2 °C through Foehn or downslope effects. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will narrow the range further as the event approaches resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$104結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-term ensemble forecasts from agencies such as the DWD and ECMWF place Munich’s September 1 maximum near the 1991–2020 climatological average of 22.2 °C, with model runs converging on 21–23 °C under partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow. This narrow band, combined with modest day-to-day variability from subtle pressure gradients and limited diurnal heating, underpins the evenly distributed market-implied probabilities across 21–25 °C. Key differentiating factors include the precise timing of any weak frontal passage, boundary-layer moisture affecting cloud cover, and local orographic influences from the nearby Alps that can modulate temperatures by 1–2 °C through Foehn or downslope effects. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will narrow the range further as the event approaches resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$104結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETCurrent short-term ensemble forecasts from agencies such as the DWD and ECMWF place Munich’s September 1 maximum near the 1991–2020 climatological average of 22.2 °C, with model runs converging on 21–23 °C under partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow. This narrow band, combined with modest day-to-day variability from subtle pressure gradients and limited diurnal heating, underpins the evenly distributed market-implied probabilities across 21–25 °C. Key differentiating factors include the precise timing of any weak frontal passage, boundary-layer moisture affecting cloud cover, and local orographic influences from the nearby Alps that can modulate temperatures by 1–2 °C through Foehn or downslope effects. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will narrow the range further as the event approaches resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions