Recent model runs from sources including GFS and regional guidance indicate a cooling trend for Wuhan on September 1, with highs likely settling near 29°C amid increasing northeasterly flow and partial cloud cover that limits peak solar heating after late-August warmth near 32–33°C. Historical early-September averages hover around 28–30°C, and current conditions show moderating humidity plus light precipitation chances that cap extremes, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 28–31°C. Traders weigh the balance between residual summer heat and advancing seasonal transition, with final resolution depending on updated observational data and model consensus before market close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月1日武漢氣溫最高?
29°C 30%
30°C 25%
27°C 20%
28°C 16%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
20%
28°C
16%
29°C
30%
30°C
25%
31°C
11%
32°C
6%
33°C or higher
5%
29°C 30%
30°C 25%
27°C 20%
28°C 16%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
20%
28°C
16%
29°C
30%
30°C
25%
31°C
11%
32°C
6%
33°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent model runs from sources including GFS and regional guidance indicate a cooling trend for Wuhan on September 1, with highs likely settling near 29°C amid increasing northeasterly flow and partial cloud cover that limits peak solar heating after late-August warmth near 32–33°C. Historical early-September averages hover around 28–30°C, and current conditions show moderating humidity plus light precipitation chances that cap extremes, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 28–31°C. Traders weigh the balance between residual summer heat and advancing seasonal transition, with final resolution depending on updated observational data and model consensus before market close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions